Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Billy van Duijl remove | Andreas Verstraeten remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 20 | 20 |
| Position | Centre-back | Centre-back |
| Club · league | AZ Alkmaar · Eredivisie | Royal Antwerp FC · Jupiler Pro League |
| League strength | 0.43 | 0.65 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1393 | 1365 |
| League minutes | 585 (19%) | 921 (34%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.08 | 0.07 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 21 | 19 |
| Market value | €1.5M | €1.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €1.1M – €3.7M | €542k – €2.8M |
| Model value | €372k – €908k | €668k – €2.7M |
| Projected value (24m) | €950k – €5.8M | €667k – €3.9M |
| Bargain Index | No index | 48/100 |
| Development | Very High | High |
| Breakout probability | 50% | 35% |
| Risk | Very High | High |
| Data confidence | Low | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€1.1M – €3.7M Model value (performance-implied)€372k – €908k Projected value (24 months)€950k – €5.8M Dashed line: current market value (€1.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€542k – €2.8M Model value (performance-implied)€668k – €2.7M Projected value (24 months)€667k – €3.9M Dashed line: current market value (€1.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Billy van Duijl and Andreas Verstraeten
- Verstraeten plays in a stronger league (0.65 vs 0.43); the other's output carries more translation uncertainty.
- Verstraeten was used far more by the club (34% of minutes vs 19%).
- Verstraeten is estimated to cost far less (€1.2M vs €2.2M mid-estimate).
- Risk differs: Duijl Very High, Verstraeten High.