Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| John McGinn remove | Mathias Jensen remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 31 | 30 |
| Position | Right midfielder | Central midfielder |
| Club · league | Aston Villa · Premier League | Brentford FC · Premier League |
| League strength | 1.30 | 1.30 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1721 | 1612 |
| League minutes | 2158 (63%) | 2252 (66%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.42 | 0.16 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.27 | 0.17 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 98 | 93 |
| Market value | €13.0M | €10.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €6.9M – €13.8M | €2.5M – €7.9M |
| Model value | €19.3M – €35.9M | €11.8M – €16.7M |
| Projected value (24m) | €2.7M – €6.7M | €2.8M – €7.3M |
| Bargain Index | 0/100 | 30/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Low | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€6.9M – €13.8M Model value (performance-implied)€19.3M – €35.9M Projected value (24 months)€2.7M – €6.7M Dashed line: current market value (€13.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€2.5M – €7.9M Model value (performance-implied)€11.8M – €16.7M Projected value (24 months)€2.8M – €7.3M Dashed line: current market value (€10.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates John McGinn and Mathias Jensen
- McGinn has higher context-adjusted goal contributions (0.27 vs 0.17 per 90).
- Jensen is estimated to cost far less (€3.4M vs €9.8M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Jensen (Bargain Index 30 vs 0) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: McGinn Low, Jensen Moderate.