Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Bryan Cristante remove | Wilmar Barrios remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 31 | 32 |
| Position | Defensive midfielder | Defensive midfielder |
| Club · league | Associazione Sportiva Roma · Serie A | AO FK Zenit Sankt-Peterburg · Premier Liga |
| League strength | 0.93 | 0.56 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1638 | 1597 |
| League minutes | 3103 (91%) | 2557 (95%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.09 | 0.04 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.08 | 0.03 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 94 | 84 |
| Market value | €7.0M | €6.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €2.3M – €6.2M | €1.7M – €4.8M |
| Model value | €6.8M – €32.0M | €2.3M – €6.3M |
| Projected value (24m) | €2.1M – €3.8M | €1.2M – €2.9M |
| Bargain Index | 47/100 | 17/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | Very High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€2.3M – €6.2M Model value (performance-implied)€6.8M – €32.0M Projected value (24 months)€2.1M – €3.8M Dashed line: current market value (€7.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€1.7M – €4.8M Model value (performance-implied)€2.3M – €6.3M Projected value (24 months)€1.2M – €2.9M Dashed line: current market value (€6.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Bryan Cristante and Wilmar Barrios
- Cristante plays in a stronger league (0.93 vs 0.56); the other's output carries more translation uncertainty.
- On value for money the model prefers Cristante (Bargain Index 47 vs 17) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Cristante Moderate, Barrios Very High.