Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Lawrence Shankland remove | Ali Sowe remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 30 | 32 |
| Position | Striker | Striker |
| Club · league | Heart of Midlothian FC · Scottish Premiership | Caykur Rizespor · Super Lig |
| League strength | 0.31 | 0.40 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1332 | 1229 |
| League minutes | 2050 (69%) | 2291 (75%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.75 | 0.47 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.56 | 0.52 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 38 | 42 |
| Market value | €3.0M | €1.5M |
| Estimated acquisition | €1.0M – €3.2M | €503k – €1.5M |
| Model value | €810k – €1.7M | €583k – €1.4M |
| Projected value (24m) | €760k – €2.0M | €339k – €1.0M |
| Bargain Index | 5/100 | 17/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | High | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€1.0M – €3.2M Model value (performance-implied)€810k – €1.7M Projected value (24 months)€760k – €2.0M Dashed line: current market value (€3.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€503k – €1.5M Model value (performance-implied)€583k – €1.4M Projected value (24 months)€339k – €1.0M Dashed line: current market value (€1.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Lawrence Shankland and Ali Sowe
- Sowe is estimated to cost far less (€838k vs €1.7M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Sowe (Bargain Index 17 vs 5) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.