Player Comparison

Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.

Saša Lukić removeJefferson Lerma remove
Age2931
PositionDefensive midfielderDefensive midfielder
Club · leagueFulham FC · Premier LeagueCrystal Palace · Premier League
League strength1.301.30
Team strength (Elo)15761589
League minutes1734 (51%)1724 (50%)
G+A per 90 (raw)0.210.21
G+A per 90 (context-adjusted)0.160.13
Passing / defending / progressionData unavailableData unavailable
Performance percentile9496
Market value€10.0M€6.0M
Estimated acquisition€3.5M – €8.9M€2.1M – €5.2M
Model value€11.4M – €28.2M€8.1M – €20.4M
Projected value (24m)€3.0M – €6.9M€1.5M – €3.6M
Bargain Index48/1009/100
DevelopmentLowLow
Breakout probabilityn/a (age > 23)n/a (age > 23)
RiskModerateModerate
Data confidenceMediumMedium
Value picture
Estimated acquisition€3.5M – €8.9M
Model value (performance-implied)€11.4M – €28.2M
Projected value (24 months)€3.0M – €6.9M
Dashed line: current market value (€10.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.
Estimated acquisition€2.1M – €5.2M
Model value (performance-implied)€8.1M – €20.4M
Projected value (24 months)€1.5M – €3.6M
Dashed line: current market value (€6.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

What separates Saša Lukić and Jefferson Lerma

  • Lerma is estimated to cost far less (€2.8M vs €4.7M mid-estimate).
  • On value for money the model prefers Lukić (Bargain Index 48 vs 9) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.