Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Tyrone Mings remove | Chancel Mbemba remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 33 | 31 |
| Position | Centre-back | Centre-back |
| Club · league | Aston Villa · Premier League | LOSC Lille · Ligue 1 |
| League strength | 1.30 | 0.88 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1721 | 1547 |
| League minutes | 1323 (39%) | 952 (31%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.07 | 0.00 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.05 | 0.03 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 94 | 74 |
| Market value | €3.0M | €2.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €1.1M – €3.3M | €633k – €2.4M |
| Model value | €4.0M – €9.2M | €1.1M – €4.8M |
| Projected value (24m) | €997k – €2.1M | €535k – €1.4M |
| Bargain Index | No index | 10/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | High | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€1.1M – €3.3M Model value (performance-implied)€4.0M – €9.2M Projected value (24 months)€997k – €2.1M Dashed line: current market value (€3.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€633k – €2.4M Model value (performance-implied)€1.1M – €4.8M Projected value (24 months)€535k – €1.4M Dashed line: current market value (€2.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Tyrone Mings and Chancel Mbemba
- Mings plays in a stronger league (1.30 vs 0.88); the other's output carries more translation uncertainty.
- Risk differs: Mings High, Mbemba Moderate.