Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Jefferson Lerma remove | Will Hughes remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 31 | 31 |
| Position | Defensive midfielder | Central midfielder |
| Club · league | Crystal Palace · Premier League | Crystal Palace · Premier League |
| League strength | 1.30 | 1.30 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1589 | 1589 |
| League minutes | 1724 (50%) | 1568 (46%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.21 | 0.00 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.13 | 0.08 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 96 | 93 |
| Market value | €6.0M | €5.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €2.1M – €5.2M | €1.2M – €4.0M |
| Model value | €8.1M – €20.4M | €9.6M – €21.0M |
| Projected value (24m) | €1.5M – €3.6M | €1.3M – €3.3M |
| Bargain Index | 9/100 | 13/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€2.1M – €5.2M Model value (performance-implied)€8.1M – €20.4M Projected value (24 months)€1.5M – €3.6M Dashed line: current market value (€6.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€1.2M – €4.0M Model value (performance-implied)€9.6M – €21.0M Projected value (24 months)€1.3M – €3.3M Dashed line: current market value (€5.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Jefferson Lerma and Will Hughes
- Hughes is estimated to cost far less (€1.7M vs €2.8M mid-estimate).
- Risk differs: Lerma Moderate, Hughes High.