Player Comparison

Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.

Jefferson Lerma removeWill Hughes remove
Age3131
PositionDefensive midfielderCentral midfielder
Club · leagueCrystal Palace · Premier LeagueCrystal Palace · Premier League
League strength1.301.30
Team strength (Elo)15891589
League minutes1724 (50%)1568 (46%)
G+A per 90 (raw)0.210.00
G+A per 90 (context-adjusted)0.130.08
Passing / defending / progressionData unavailableData unavailable
Performance percentile9693
Market value€6.0M€5.0M
Estimated acquisition€2.1M – €5.2M€1.2M – €4.0M
Model value€8.1M – €20.4M€9.6M – €21.0M
Projected value (24m)€1.5M – €3.6M€1.3M – €3.3M
Bargain Index9/10013/100
DevelopmentLowLow
Breakout probabilityn/a (age > 23)n/a (age > 23)
RiskModerateHigh
Data confidenceMediumMedium
Value picture
Estimated acquisition€2.1M – €5.2M
Model value (performance-implied)€8.1M – €20.4M
Projected value (24 months)€1.5M – €3.6M
Dashed line: current market value (€6.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.
Estimated acquisition€1.2M – €4.0M
Model value (performance-implied)€9.6M – €21.0M
Projected value (24 months)€1.3M – €3.3M
Dashed line: current market value (€5.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

What separates Jefferson Lerma and Will Hughes

  • Hughes is estimated to cost far less (€1.7M vs €2.8M mid-estimate).
  • Risk differs: Lerma Moderate, Hughes High.