Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Mathias Jensen remove | Will Hughes remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 30 | 31 |
| Position | Central midfielder | Central midfielder |
| Club · league | Brentford FC · Premier League | Crystal Palace · Premier League |
| League strength | 1.30 | 1.30 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1612 | 1589 |
| League minutes | 2252 (66%) | 1568 (46%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.16 | 0.00 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.17 | 0.08 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 93 | 93 |
| Market value | €10.0M | €5.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €2.5M – €7.9M | €1.2M – €4.0M |
| Model value | €11.8M – €16.7M | €9.6M – €21.0M |
| Projected value (24m) | €2.8M – €7.3M | €1.3M – €3.3M |
| Bargain Index | 30/100 | 13/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€2.5M – €7.9M Model value (performance-implied)€11.8M – €16.7M Projected value (24 months)€2.8M – €7.3M Dashed line: current market value (€10.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€1.2M – €4.0M Model value (performance-implied)€9.6M – €21.0M Projected value (24 months)€1.3M – €3.3M Dashed line: current market value (€5.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Mathias Jensen and Will Hughes
- Jensen has higher context-adjusted goal contributions (0.17 vs 0.08 per 90).
- Jensen was used far more by the club (66% of minutes vs 46%).
- Hughes is estimated to cost far less (€1.7M vs €3.4M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Jensen (Bargain Index 30 vs 13) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Jensen Moderate, Hughes High.