Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| M'Bala Nzola remove | Mostafa Mohamed remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 29 | 28 |
| Position | Striker | Striker |
| Club · league | Pisa Sporting Club · Serie A | FC Nantes · Ligue 1 |
| League strength | 0.93 | 0.88 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1305 | 1304 |
| League minutes | 1520 (44%) | 1151 (38%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.50 | 0.53 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 53 | 46 |
| Market value | €4.0M | €3.5M |
| Estimated acquisition | €1.3M – €3.7M | €1.2M – €3.2M |
| Model value | €1.8M – €4.9M | €1.1M – €3.5M |
| Projected value (24m) | €963k – €2.9M | €1.1M – €3.0M |
| Bargain Index | 27/100 | 54/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€1.3M – €3.7M Model value (performance-implied)€1.8M – €4.9M Projected value (24 months)€963k – €2.9M Dashed line: current market value (€4.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€1.2M – €3.2M Model value (performance-implied)€1.1M – €3.5M Projected value (24 months)€1.1M – €3.0M Dashed line: current market value (€3.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates M'Bala Nzola and Mostafa Mohamed
- On value for money the model prefers Mohamed (Bargain Index 54 vs 27) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Nzola Moderate, Mohamed High.