Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Ko Itakura remove | Erik Palmer-Brown remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 29 | 29 |
| Position | Centre-back | Centre-back |
| Club · league | Ajax Amsterdam · Eredivisie | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos · Super League 1 |
| League strength | 0.43 | 0.42 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1405 | 1465 |
| League minutes | 1344 (44%) | 1027 (44%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.07 | 0.00 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.05 | 0.04 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 63 | 50 |
| Market value | €8.0M | €1.5M |
| Estimated acquisition | €2.3M – €7.8M | €433k – €1.4M |
| Model value | €1.9M – €4.9M | €694k – €2.2M |
| Projected value (24m) | €2.1M – €5.4M | €537k – €1.6M |
| Bargain Index | 5/100 | 76/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€2.3M – €7.8M Model value (performance-implied)€1.9M – €4.9M Projected value (24 months)€2.1M – €5.4M Dashed line: current market value (€8.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€433k – €1.4M Model value (performance-implied)€694k – €2.2M Projected value (24 months)€537k – €1.6M Dashed line: current market value (€1.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Ko Itakura and Erik Palmer-Brown
- Palmer-Brown is estimated to cost far less (€578k vs €5.4M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Palmer-Brown (Bargain Index 76 vs 5) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.