Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Vyacheslav Grulev remove | Diego Duarte remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 27 | 24 |
| Position | Striker | Striker |
| Club · league | FK Nizhny Novgorod · Premier Liga | Avs Futebol · Liga Portugal |
| League strength | 0.56 | 0.58 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1176 | 1182 |
| League minutes | 917 (34%) | 1291 (42%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.61 | 0.63 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 13 | 7 |
| Market value | €800k | €250k |
| Estimated acquisition | €228k – €600k | €93k – €284k |
| Model value | €447k – €575k | €352k – €738k |
| Projected value (24m) | €360k – €976k | €202k – €400k |
| Bargain Index | 88/100 | 100/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Very High | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€228k – €600k Model value (performance-implied)€447k – €575k Projected value (24 months)€360k – €976k Dashed line: current market value (€800k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€93k – €284k Model value (performance-implied)€352k – €738k Projected value (24 months)€202k – €400k Dashed line: current market value (€250k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Vyacheslav Grulev and Diego Duarte
- Duarte is 3 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- Duarte is estimated to cost far less (€124k vs €304k mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Duarte (Bargain Index 100 vs 88) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Grulev Very High, Duarte High.