Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Martijn Kaars remove | Mostafa Mohamed remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 27 | 28 |
| Position | Striker | Striker |
| Club · league | FC St. Pauli · Bundesliga | FC Nantes · Ligue 1 |
| League strength | 0.94 | 0.88 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1283 | 1304 |
| League minutes | 1346 (44%) | 1151 (38%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.46 | 0.53 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 38 | 46 |
| Market value | €3.0M | €3.5M |
| Estimated acquisition | €1.2M – €3.9M | €1.2M – €3.2M |
| Model value | €920k – €2.7M | €1.1M – €3.5M |
| Projected value (24m) | €1.1M – €3.5M | €1.1M – €3.0M |
| Bargain Index | 24/100 | 54/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Low | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€1.2M – €3.9M Model value (performance-implied)€920k – €2.7M Projected value (24 months)€1.1M – €3.5M Dashed line: current market value (€3.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€1.2M – €3.2M Model value (performance-implied)€1.1M – €3.5M Projected value (24 months)€1.1M – €3.0M Dashed line: current market value (€3.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Martijn Kaars and Mostafa Mohamed
- Mohamed is estimated to cost far less (€1.6M vs €2.5M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Mohamed (Bargain Index 54 vs 24) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Kaars Low, Mohamed High.