Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Richarlison remove | Beto remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 29 | 28 |
| Position | Striker | Striker |
| Club · league | Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League | Everton FC · Premier League |
| League strength | 1.30 | 1.30 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1564 | 1556 |
| League minutes | 1960 (57%) | 1565 (46%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.69 | 0.57 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.64 | 0.58 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 94 | 92 |
| Market value | €25.0M | €18.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €10.3M – €27.1M | €7.9M – €20.1M |
| Model value | €12.4M – €45.3M | €20.0M – €32.6M |
| Projected value (24m) | €7.7M – €16.4M | €5.5M – €15.0M |
| Bargain Index | 25/100 | 40/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Low | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€10.3M – €27.1M Model value (performance-implied)€12.4M – €45.3M Projected value (24 months)€7.7M – €16.4M Dashed line: current market value (€25.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€7.9M – €20.1M Model value (performance-implied)€20.0M – €32.6M Projected value (24 months)€5.5M – €15.0M Dashed line: current market value (€18.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Richarlison and Beto
- On value for money the model prefers Beto (Bargain Index 40 vs 25) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Richarlison Low, Beto Moderate.