Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Daizen Maeda remove | Aboubakary Koita remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 28 | 27 |
| Position | Left winger | Left winger |
| Club · league | Celtic FC · Scottish Premiership | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos · Super League 1 |
| League strength | 0.31 | 0.42 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1406 | 1512 |
| League minutes | 2386 (80%) | 1506 (64%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.45 | 0.36 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.30 | 0.21 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 74 | 64 |
| Market value | €13.0M | €5.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €4.1M – €10.0M | €1.9M – €5.5M |
| Model value | €3.0M – €11.5M | €1.7M – €7.2M |
| Projected value (24m) | €3.4M – €9.1M | €2.2M – €5.1M |
| Bargain Index | 28/100 | 42/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | High | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€4.1M – €10.0M Model value (performance-implied)€3.0M – €11.5M Projected value (24 months)€3.4M – €9.1M Dashed line: current market value (€13.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€1.9M – €5.5M Model value (performance-implied)€1.7M – €7.2M Projected value (24 months)€2.2M – €5.1M Dashed line: current market value (€5.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Daizen Maeda and Aboubakary Koita
- Maeda has higher context-adjusted goal contributions (0.30 vs 0.21 per 90).
- Maeda was used far more by the club (80% of minutes vs 64%).
- Koita is estimated to cost far less (€3.2M vs €5.5M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Koita (Bargain Index 42 vs 28) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Maeda High, Koita Moderate.