Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Rav van den Berg remove | Andrés Castrín remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 21 | 23 |
| Position | Centre-back | Centre-back |
| Club · league | 1.FC Köln · Bundesliga | Sevilla FC · Laliga |
| League strength | 0.94 | 0.95 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1347 | 1397 |
| League minutes | 1132 (37%) | 1276 (37%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.08 | 0.07 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.07 | 0.10 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 41 | 46 |
| Market value | €7.0M | €6.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €4.9M – €10.9M | €2.8M – €9.6M |
| Model value | €1.2M – €5.5M | €1.5M – €5.1M |
| Projected value (24m) | €3.5M – €16.4M | €3.2M – €13.3M |
| Bargain Index | 60/100 | 94/100 |
| Development | High | Moderate |
| Breakout probability | 27% | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | High | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€4.9M – €10.9M Model value (performance-implied)€1.2M – €5.5M Projected value (24 months)€3.5M – €16.4M Dashed line: current market value (€7.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€2.8M – €9.6M Model value (performance-implied)€1.5M – €5.1M Projected value (24 months)€3.2M – €13.3M Dashed line: current market value (€6.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Rav van den Berg and Andrés Castrín
- Castrín is estimated to cost far less (€3.8M vs €7.7M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Castrín (Bargain Index 94 vs 60) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.