Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Jhon Alex Palacios remove | Andrés Alarcón remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 26 | 25 |
| Position | Centre-back | Centre-back |
| Club · league | FC Orenburg · Premier Liga | Dinamo Makhachkala · Premier Liga |
| League strength | 0.56 | 0.56 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1218 | 1214 |
| League minutes | 1065 (39%) | 1013 (38%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 14 | 15 |
| Market value | €750k | €750k |
| Estimated acquisition | €259k – €804k | €293k – €875k |
| Model value | €386k – €695k | €337k – €769k |
| Projected value (24m) | €389k – €1.2M | €405k – €1.2M |
| Bargain Index | 63/100 | 78/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | High | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€259k – €804k Model value (performance-implied)€386k – €695k Projected value (24 months)€389k – €1.2M Dashed line: current market value (€750k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€293k – €875k Model value (performance-implied)€337k – €769k Projected value (24 months)€405k – €1.2M Dashed line: current market value (€750k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Jhon Alex Palacios and Andrés Alarcón
- On value for money the model prefers Alarcón (Bargain Index 78 vs 63) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.