Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Gyan de Regt remove | Derensili Sanches Fernandes remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 22 | 25 |
| Position | Left winger | Right winger |
| Club · league | Excelsior Rotterdam · Eredivisie | Excelsior Rotterdam · Eredivisie |
| League strength | 0.43 | 0.43 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1183 | 1183 |
| League minutes | 2662 (87%) | 2504 (82%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.37 | 0.32 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.56 | 0.45 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 19 | 21 |
| Market value | €900k | €900k |
| Estimated acquisition | €375k – €1.4M | €241k – €800k |
| Model value | €599k – €947k | €550k – €1.1M |
| Projected value (24m) | €549k – €2.2M | €555k – €1.9M |
| Bargain Index | 99/100 | 99/100 |
| Development | Moderate | Low |
| Breakout probability | 11% | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | High | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€375k – €1.4M Model value (performance-implied)€599k – €947k Projected value (24 months)€549k – €2.2M Dashed line: current market value (€900k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€241k – €800k Model value (performance-implied)€550k – €1.1M Projected value (24 months)€555k – €1.9M Dashed line: current market value (€900k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Gyan de Regt and Derensili Sanches Fernandes
- Regt is 2 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- Regt has higher context-adjusted goal contributions (0.56 vs 0.45 per 90).
- Fernandes is estimated to cost far less (€321k vs €500k mid-estimate).