Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Carlos Alcaraz remove | Joe Willock remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 23 | 26 |
| Position | Central midfielder | Central midfielder |
| Club · league | Everton FC · Premier League | Newcastle United · Premier League |
| League strength | 1.30 | 1.30 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1556 | 1631 |
| League minutes | 685 (20%) | 980 (29%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.13 | 0.18 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.19 | 0.19 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 82 | 89 |
| Market value | €15.0M | €14.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €6.9M – €16.9M | €4.9M – €12.4M |
| Model value | €8.6M – €34.2M | €16.1M – €25.6M |
| Projected value (24m) | €7.8M – €24.6M | €5.3M – €15.1M |
| Bargain Index | No index | 85/100 |
| Development | Moderate | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | High | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Low | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€6.9M – €16.9M Model value (performance-implied)€8.6M – €34.2M Projected value (24 months)€7.8M – €24.6M Dashed line: current market value (€15.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€4.9M – €12.4M Model value (performance-implied)€16.1M – €25.6M Projected value (24 months)€5.3M – €15.1M Dashed line: current market value (€14.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Carlos Alcaraz and Joe Willock
- Alcaraz is 3 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- Risk differs: Alcaraz High, Willock Moderate.