Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Aleksandr Degtev remove | Timur Magomedov remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 21 | 24 |
| Position | Goalkeeper | Goalkeeper |
| Club · league | FK Sochi · Premier Liga | Dinamo Makhachkala · Premier Liga |
| League strength | 0.56 | 0.56 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1197 | 1214 |
| League minutes | 1620 (60%) | 1170 (43%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 16 | 14 |
| Market value | €800k | €600k |
| Estimated acquisition | €353k – €1.1M | €162k – €454k |
| Model value | €452k – €1.1M | €360k – €769k |
| Projected value (24m) | €452k – €2.9M | €334k – €872k |
| Bargain Index | 81/100 | 97/100 |
| Development | Moderate | Low |
| Breakout probability | 23% | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Very High | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€353k – €1.1M Model value (performance-implied)€452k – €1.1M Projected value (24 months)€452k – €2.9M Dashed line: current market value (€800k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€162k – €454k Model value (performance-implied)€360k – €769k Projected value (24 months)€334k – €872k Dashed line: current market value (€600k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Aleksandr Degtev and Timur Magomedov
- Degtev is 3 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- Degtev was used far more by the club (60% of minutes vs 43%).
- Magomedov is estimated to cost far less (€217k vs €708k mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Magomedov (Bargain Index 97 vs 81) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Degtev Very High, Magomedov High.