Joaquinete
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Joaquinete's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-1.2M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.3M-0.6M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.70x the positional average in the league (2416 minutes, league coefficient 0.25). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: 90
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 16.8th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 28.9 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €279k vs market €500k |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -9% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.25 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2416 (90% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.56
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.69
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 17 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.25 (rank 30)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1091
- Opponent strength
- 1177
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €251k – €555k
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -41% (IQR -52% to -18%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 18 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 87%–104%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 94%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Epicentr Kamyanets-Podilskyi | Premier Liga | LW | 30 | 2416 | 89% | 8 | 7 | 0.56 | 0.69 | 1177 | 1091 | 0.25 |
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ronnie Schwartz Superliga · 2020 | 31 | €475k | €250k | fell |
| Danny Armstrong Scottish Premiership · 2023 | 26 | €700k | €750k | flat |
| Maksym Pryadun Premier Liga · 2023 | 26 | €600k | €400k | fell |
| Greg Stewart Scottish Premiership · 2015 | 25 | €400k | €600k | rose |
| Jeffrey Sarpong Super League 1 · 2017 | 29 | €400k | €300k | fell |
| Pål Alexander Kirkevold Superliga · 2018 | 28 | €800k | €400k | fell |
| Rostyslav Rusyn Premier Liga · 2023 | 28 | €400k | €175k | fell |
| Kevin van Veen Scottish Premiership · 2023 | 32 | €800k | €200k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul 2025 | UE Santa Coloma | Epicentr | Free / loan | €300k |
| 14 Jul 2023 | Socuéllamos | UE Santa Coloma | Free / loan | €25k |
| 13 Jan 2023 | Quintanar Rey | Socuéllamos | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Atlético Ibañés | Quintanar Rey | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | UD Almansa | Atlético Ibañés | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.