Jordy Clasie
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Jordy Clasie's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-1.0M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-0.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.3M-0.6M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.71x the positional average in the league (815 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Average | 54.5th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 35 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €429k vs market €800k |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -46% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1164 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 815 (27% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.22
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.09
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 55 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.43 (rank 15)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1393
- Opponent strength
- 1275
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €347k – €601k
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 33 pts; team strength down (-73 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -46% (IQR -58% to -11%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Small sample: 815 league minutes last season.
- ▲Age 35: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 53 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 76%–148%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 68%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | AZ Alkmaar | Eredivisie | DM | 12 | 815 | 27% | 1 | 1 | 0.22 | 0.09 | 1275 | 1393 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | AZ Alkmaar | Eredivisie | DM | 23 | 1823 | 60% | 0 | 2 | 0.10 | 0.07 | 1326 | 1466 | 0.50 |
| 2023/24 | AZ Alkmaar | Eredivisie | DM | 28 | 2473 | 81% | 2 | 3 | 0.18 | 0.10 | 1352 | 1441 | 0.48 |
| 2022/23 | AZ Alkmaar | Eredivisie | DM | 33 | 2902 | 95% | 3 | 2 | 0.16 | 0.10 | 1342 | 1530 | 0.58 |
| 2021/22 | AZ Alkmaar | Eredivisie | DM | 30 | 2417 | 79% | 1 | 0 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 1346 | 1496 | 0.60 |
| 2020/21 | AZ Alkmaar | Eredivisie | CM | 8 | 391 | 13% | 1 | 0 | 0.23 | 0.14 | 1324 | 1557 | 0.56 |
| 2019/20 | AZ Alkmaar | Eredivisie | DM | 18 | 998 | 44% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 1349 | 1542 | 0.62 |
| 2018/19 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | Eredivisie | DM | 33 | 2723 | 89% | 1 | 3 | 0.13 | 0.08 | 1347 | 1502 | 0.61 |
| 2017/18 | Club Brugge KV | Jupiler Pro League | DM | 17 | 936 | 35% | 0 | 2 | 0.19 | 0.11 | 1353 | 1527 | 0.63 |
| 2016/17 | Southampton FC | Premier League | CM | 16 | 1026 | 30% | 1 | 1 | 0.18 | 0.17 | 1506 | 1501 | 1.07 |
| 2015/16 | Southampton FC | Premier League | DM | 22 | 1551 | 45% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 1536 | 1619 | 1.08 |
| 2014/15 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | Eredivisie | DM | 31 | 2780 | 91% | 2 | 5 | 0.23 | 0.17 | 1341 | 1436 | 0.52 |
| 2013/14 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | Eredivisie | DM | 32 | 2840 | 93% | 1 | 8 | 0.29 | 0.17 | 1339 | 1518 | 0.59 |
| 2012/13 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | Eredivisie | DM | 33 | 2837 | 93% | 2 | 6 | 0.25 | 0.15 | 1362 | 1449 | 0.54 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | AZ Alkmaar | 4 | 243 | 0 | 0 | 1376 |
| 2025/26 | Knvb Beker | AZ Alkmaar | 1 | 69 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League | AZ Alkmaar | 10 | 783 | 1 | 1 | 1570 |
| 2024/25 | Knvb Beker | AZ Alkmaar | 4 | 390 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2023/24 | Knvb Beker | AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 330 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | AZ Alkmaar | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1205 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | AZ Alkmaar | 6 | 526 | 0 | 0 | 1341 |
| 2022/23 | Knvb Beker | AZ Alkmaar | 2 | 206 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2021/22 | Knvb Beker | AZ Alkmaar | 4 | 351 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | AZ Alkmaar | 1 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 1529 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | AZ Alkmaar | 2 | 170 | 0 | 0 | 1523 |
| 2020/21 | Knvb Beker | AZ Alkmaar | 1 | 45 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League | AZ Alkmaar | 7 | 328 | 0 | 0 | 1587 |
| 2019/20 | Knvb Beker | AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 169 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | AZ Alkmaar | 4 | 58 | 0 | 0 | 1341 |
| 2018/19 | Knvb Beker | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 4 | 336 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1380 |
| 2018/19 | Johan Cruijff Schaal | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 1 | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1636 |
| 2016/17 | Fa Cup | Southampton FC | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2016/17 | Uefa Europa League | Southampton FC | 2 | 162 | 0 | 0 | 1512 |
| 2015/16 | Fa Cup | Southampton FC | 1 | 76 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2015/16 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Southampton FC | 1 | 62 | 0 | 0 | 1431 |
| 2014/15 | Uefa Europa League | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 8 | 703 | 0 | 0 | 1534 |
| 2014/15 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 2 | 159 | 0 | 0 | 1528 |
| 2014/15 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 2 | 156 | 0 | 0 | 1406 |
| 2014/15 | Knvb Beker | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2013/14 | Knvb Beker | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 3 | 221 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2013/14 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 2 | 143 | 0 | 0 | 1563 |
| 2012/13 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1556 |
| 2012/13 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 2 | 180 | 0 | 1 | 1466 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marvin Bartley Scottish Premiership · 2019 | 33 | €350k | €300k | flat |
| Danijel Aleksic Super Lig · 2024 | 33 | €850k | €850k | flat |
| Mehmet Topal Super Lig · 2020 | 34 | €900k | €100k | fell |
| José Sosa Super Lig · 2022 | 37 | €300k | €175k | fell |
| Javier Matilla Super League 1 · 2022 | 34 | €350k | €175k | fell |
| Gary McDonald Scottish Premiership · 2015 | 33 | €350k | €350k | flat |
| Denys Garmash Premier Liga · 2023 | 33 | €1.2M | €300k | fell |
| Chris Millar Scottish Premiership · 2017 | 34 | €400k | €200k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul 2019 | Southampton | AZ Alkmaar | Free / loan | €5.5M |
| 30 Jun 2019 | Feyenoord | Southampton | Free / loan | €5.5M |
| 25 Jul 2018 | Southampton | Feyenoord | Free / loan | €6.5M |
| 30 Jun 2018 | Club Brugge | Southampton | Free / loan | €6.5M |
| 30 Aug 2017 | Southampton | Club Brugge | Free / loan | €10.0M |
| 15 Jul 2015 | Feyenoord | Southampton | €15.0M | €10.0M |
| 30 Jun 2011 | Excelsior | Feyenoord | Free / loan | €500k |
| 1 Aug 2010 | Feyenoord | Excelsior | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2010 | Feyenoord U19 | Feyenoord | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2008 | Feyenoord U17 | Feyenoord U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2007 | Feyenoord Youth | Feyenoord U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.