Mauricio Benítez
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Mauricio Benítez's performance-implied value at EUR 0.9M-2.0M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.6M-5.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.3M-5.6M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.55x the positional average in the league (1096 minutes, league coefficient 0.65). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 40
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 24.7th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 22.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Unfavorable | est. €2.9M vs market €2.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | +8% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | High | breakout probability 34% |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.65 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1096 (41% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.25
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.19
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 25 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.65 (rank 6)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1365
- Opponent strength
- 1380
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- High
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- 34%
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.3M – €5.6M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +39% (IQR -17% to +165%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
- ⚠Limited sample: 1096 league minutes last season.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 60 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 63%–142%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 72%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Royal Antwerp FC | Jupiler Pro League | DM | 19 | 1096 | 41% | 3 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.19 | 1380 | 1365 | 0.65 |
| 2024/25 | Royal Antwerp FC | Jupiler Pro League | DM | 6 | 350 | 13% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 1359 | 1442 | 0.63 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Jupiler Pro League Europe Play Offs | Royal Antwerp FC | 8 | 401 | 0 | 0 | 1389 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gustavo Assunção Liga Portugal · 2023 | 23 | €2.5M | €1.5M | fell |
| Yusuf Yazıcı Super Lig · 2017 | 20 | €2.5M | €13.0M | rose |
| Ravanelli Premier Liga · 2019 | 22 | €2.5M | €1.5M | fell |
| Filip Krovinovic Liga Portugal · 2017 | 22 | €2.0M | €5.0M | rose |
| Jean Lucas Ligue 1 · 2021 | 23 | €4.5M | €5.0M | flat |
| Michel Vlap Eredivisie · 2018 | 21 | €1.8M | €5.5M | rose |
| Lechi Sadulaev Premier Liga · 2023 | 23 | €2.0M | €3.5M | rose |
| Sander Coopman Jupiler Pro League · 2017 | 22 | €1.3M | €1.2M | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | Royal Antwerp | Boca Juniors | Free / loan | €2.5M |
| 2 Feb 2025 | Boca Juniors | Royal Antwerp | Free / loan | €400k |
| 1 Jan 2024 | Boca Juniors II | Boca Juniors | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2023 | CABJ U20 | Boca Juniors II | Unknown | €25k |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.