Stefan Savic

35 yrs · Centre-back · Montenegro
Trabzonspor · Super Lig · Foot: right · Height: 187 cm
Risk: Very HighConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2027
No index
CompareCheaper alternative
Market value
€400k
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€107k – €362k
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€246k – €762k
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€194k – €393k
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€115k – €655k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€107k – €362k
Model value (performance-implied)€246k – €762k
Projected value (24 months)€194k – €393k
Dashed line: current market value (€400k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Stefan Savic's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-0.8M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.2M-0.4M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Bargain Index: not assigned

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

Age above 33 (outside validated pool)

PerformanceAverage49.8th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable35.5 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €142k vs market €400k
Expected appreciationVery low-26% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery largeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.4
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskVery High
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €40.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1757 (57% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.10
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.08
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
50 (Average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.40 (rank 18)
Team strength (Elo)
1368
Opponent strength
1264
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
improving
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€194k – €393k

Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 31 pts; team strength up (+61 Elo); relative output up 134% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -44% (IQR -62% to +0%).

Risk profile

Overall: Very High

  • ▲Age 35: resale value typically declines.
  • ⚠Limited sample: 1757 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
50 (DEF)
Relative output kept
68%–191%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
54%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26TrabzonsporSuper LigCB22175757%110.100.08126413680.40
2024/25TrabzonsporSuper LigCB1384126%000.000.03128913070.39
2023/24Atlético de MadridLaligaCB23163148%000.000.02146816671.00
2022/23Atlético de MadridLaligaCB22194657%000.000.02152316560.98
2021/22Atlético de MadridLaligaCB28244171%000.000.01150316771.05
2020/21Atlético de MadridLaligaCB33295486%100.030.03155717281.10
2019/20Atlético de MadridLaligaCB22198058%000.000.02151517591.16
2018/19Atlético de MadridLaligaCB18139941%020.130.07153617361.14
2017/18Atlético de MadridLaligaCB27229967%000.000.01153917681.11
2016/17Atlético de MadridLaligaCB32272780%110.070.04155917921.11
2015/16Atlético de MadridLaligaCB1292527%000.000.02153118291.17
2014/15ACF FiorentinaSerie ACB29251574%210.110.08146816000.93
2013/14ACF FiorentinaSerie ACB31279082%010.030.03147515700.88
2012/13ACF FiorentinaSerie ACB26221865%200.080.07138915800.88

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2024/25Uefa Conference League QualifyingTrabzonspor2210001443
2024/25Uefa Europa League QualifyingTrabzonspor190001469
2023/24Uefa Champions LeagueAtlético de Madrid6414001684
2023/24Copa Del ReyAtlético de Madrid318400—
2023/24SupercopaAtlético de Madrid1120001810
2022/23Copa Del ReyAtlético de Madrid432400—
2022/23Uefa Champions LeagueAtlético de Madrid3270001597
2021/22Uefa Champions LeagueAtlético de Madrid5450001761
2020/21Uefa Champions LeagueAtlético de Madrid8711001684
2020/21Copa Del ReyAtlético de Madrid17900—
2019/20Uefa Champions LeagueAtlético de Madrid4390101839
2019/20SupercopaAtlético de Madrid2112001824
2018/19Copa Del ReyAtlético de Madrid218000—
2018/19Uefa Super CupAtlético de Madrid1120001885
2018/19Uefa Champions LeagueAtlético de Madrid182001469
2017/18Copa Del ReyAtlético de Madrid327000—
2017/18Uefa Champions LeagueAtlético de Madrid3268001639
2017/18Uefa Europa LeagueAtlético de Madrid4196001582
2016/17Uefa Champions LeagueAtlético de Madrid10829001713
2016/17Copa Del ReyAtlético de Madrid763000—
2015/16Uefa Champions LeagueAtlético de Madrid7482001719
2015/16Copa Del ReyAtlético de Madrid545000—
2014/15Uefa Europa LeagueACF Fiorentina9676011619
2014/15Italy CupACF Fiorentina327000—
2013/14Uefa Europa LeagueACF Fiorentina4360001623
2013/14Italy CupACF Fiorentina324100—
2013/14Uefa Europa League QualifyingACF Fiorentina2180001368
2012/13Italy CupACF Fiorentina112000—
2012/13Community ShieldManchester City145001568

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Jesper Juelsgaard
Superliga · 2021
32€300k€100kfell
Simon Poulsen
Superliga · 2018
34€250k€250kflat
Martin Albrechtsen
Superliga · 2016
36€200k€100kfell
Yohan Benalouane
Super League 1 · 2021
34€400k€125kfell
Scott Boyd
Scottish Premiership · 2019
33€250k€250kflat
Jorge Teixeira
Jupiler Pro League · 2021
35€250k€100kfell
Sergey Parshivlyuk
Premier Liga · 2023
34€400k€250kfell
Giandomenico Mesto
Super League 1 · 2017
35€300k€300kflat

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
26 Jul 2024AtléticoTrabzonsporFree / loan€2.5M
20 Jul 2015FiorentinaAtlético€12.0M€15.0M
31 Aug 2012Man CityFiorentinaFree / loan€8.0M
6 Jul 2011PartizanMan City€12.0M€6.0M
30 Aug 2010BSK BorcaPartizan€300k€450k
1 Jul 2009Borca U19BSK BorcaUnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.