Frederik Rönnow
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Frederik Rönnow's performance-implied value at EUR 1.2M-2.1M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.6M-3.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.6M-1.5M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Age above 33 (outside validated pool)
| Performance | High | 76.1th pct among GK peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 33.9 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €1.4M vs market €2.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -52% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.94 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 284 evaluated GK players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2641 (86% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.00
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 76 (High)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.94 (rank 3)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1392
- Opponent strength
- 1493
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €552k – €1.5M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -70% (IQR -77% to -62%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ▲Age 34: resale value typically declines.
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | 1.FC Union Berlin | Bundesliga | GK | 30 | 2641 | 86% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1493 | 1392 | 0.94 |
| 2024/25 | 1.FC Union Berlin | Bundesliga | GK | 28 | 2520 | 82% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1516 | 1394 | 0.94 |
| 2023/24 | 1.FC Union Berlin | Bundesliga | GK | 33 | 2970 | 97% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1509 | 1431 | 1.01 |
| 2022/23 | 1.FC Union Berlin | Bundesliga | GK | 29 | 2610 | 85% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1522 | 1587 | 1.04 |
| 2021/22 | 1.FC Union Berlin | Bundesliga | GK | 7 | 630 | 21% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1485 | 1568 | 1.05 |
| 2020/21 | FC Schalke 04 | Bundesliga | GK | 11 | 945 | 31% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1542 | 1303 | 1.06 |
| 2019/20 | Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga | GK | 9 | 810 | 26% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1544 | 1535 | 1.06 |
| 2018/19 | Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga | GK | 2 | 122 | 4% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1383 | 1593 | 1.05 |
| 2017/18 | Bröndby IF | Superliga | GK | 26 | 2340 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1272 | 1502 | 0.47 |
| 2016/17 | Bröndby IF | Superliga | GK | 26 | 2340 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1303 | 1440 | 0.48 |
| 2015/16 | Bröndby IF | Superliga | GK | 29 | 2610 | 88% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1302 | 1372 | 0.53 |
| 2013/14 | Esbjerg fB | Superliga | GK | 18 | 1620 | 55% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1344 | 1438 | 0.63 |
| 2012/13 | AC Horsens | Superliga | GK | 33 | 2970 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1343 | 1238 | 0.54 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Dfb Pokal | 1.FC Union Berlin | 3 | 260 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Dfb Pokal | 1.FC Union Berlin | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League | 1.FC Union Berlin | 6 | 540 | 0 | 0 | 1680 |
| 2023/24 | Dfb Pokal | 1.FC Union Berlin | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Europa League | 1.FC Union Berlin | 10 | 855 | 0 | 0 | 1544 |
| 2022/23 | Dfb Pokal | 1.FC Union Berlin | 2 | 210 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Dfb Pokal | 1.FC Union Berlin | 3 | 300 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League | Eintracht Frankfurt | 5 | 450 | 0 | 0 | 1521 |
| 2019/20 | Dfb Pokal | Eintracht Frankfurt | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League | Eintracht Frankfurt | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1483 |
| 2018/19 | Franz Beckenbauer Supercup | Eintracht Frankfurt | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1863 |
| 2018/19 | Dfb Pokal | Eintracht Frankfurt | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Oddset Pokalen | Bröndby IF | 3 | 270 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Bröndby IF | 3 | 270 | 0 | 0 | 1389 |
| 2016/17 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Bröndby IF | 7 | 620 | 0 | 0 | 1329 |
| 2016/17 | Oddset Pokalen | Bröndby IF | 3 | 300 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2015/16 | Oddset Pokalen | Bröndby IF | 3 | 270 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2015/16 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Bröndby IF | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1404 |
| 2013/14 | Uefa Europa League | Esbjerg fB | 6 | 540 | 0 | 0 | 1501 |
| 2013/14 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Esbjerg fB | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1566 |
| 2012/13 | Oddset Pokalen | AC Horsens | 5 | 450 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2012/13 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | AC Horsens | 4 | 360 | 0 | 0 | 1458 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonio Mirante Serie A · 2016 | 33 | €3.0M | €1.0M | fell |
| Salvatore Sirigu Serie A · 2021 | 34 | €2.5M | €500k | fell |
| Stefano Sorrentino Serie A · 2013 | 34 | €3.0M | €800k | fell |
| Benjamin Lecomte Ligue 1 · 2024 | 33 | €3.5M | €800k | fell |
| Philipp Tschauner Bundesliga · 2018 | 33 | €1.5M | €325k | fell |
| Fernando Martínez Laliga · 2023 | 33 | €2.0M | €700k | fell |
| Daniel Aranzubia Laliga · 2013 | 34 | €2.0M | €1.0M | fell |
| Mickaël Landreau Ligue 1 · 2013 | 34 | €3.0M | €1.8M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul 2021 | Frankfurt | Union Berlin | €1.0M | €2.5M |
| 30 Jun 2021 | FC Schalke 04 | Frankfurt | Free / loan | €2.5M |
| 30 Sept 2020 | Frankfurt | FC Schalke 04 | Free / loan | €2.4M |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Bröndby IF | Frankfurt | €2.8M | €3.0M |
| 2 Jul 2015 | AC Horsens | Bröndby IF | €350k | €500k |
| 30 Jun 2014 | Esbjerg fB | AC Horsens | Free / loan | €750k |
| 5 Jul 2013 | AC Horsens | Esbjerg fB | Free / loan | €750k |
| 4 Aug 2010 | AC Horsens U19 | AC Horsens | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2009 | Horsens Youth | AC Horsens U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.