Kamil Ahmet Çörekçi
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Kamil Ahmet Çörekçi's performance-implied value at EUR 0.1M-0.3M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.0M-0.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.0M-0.1M. Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Below average | 14.7th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 34.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €53k vs market €100k |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -1% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.4 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1269 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 767 (25% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.12
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 15 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.40 (rank 18)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1203
- Opponent strength
- 1288
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €49k – €101k
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 28 pts; changed club; team strength up (+95 Elo); role change RB -> LB.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -18% (IQR -38% to +0%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Small sample: 767 league minutes last season.
- ▲Age 34: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 50 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 68%–191%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 54%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Kasimpasa | Super Lig | LB | 9 | 767 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.12 | 1288 | 1203 | 0.40 |
| 2024/25 | Hatayspor | Super Lig | RB | 24 | 1731 | 53% | 0 | 2 | 0.10 | 0.13 | 1315 | 1107 | 0.39 |
| 2023/24 | Hatayspor | Super Lig | RB | 24 | 1734 | 51% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.08 | 1298 | 1163 | 0.45 |
| 2022/23 | Hatayspor | Super Lig | RB | 17 | 1434 | 44% | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | 0.10 | 1308 | 1076 | 0.50 |
| 2021/22 | Hatayspor | Super Lig | RB | 30 | 2520 | 74% | 0 | 3 | 0.11 | 0.10 | 1250 | 1252 | 0.42 |
| 2020/21 | Trabzonspor | Super Lig | DM | 19 | 871 | 24% | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | 0.09 | 1289 | 1363 | 0.37 |
| 2019/20 | Trabzonspor | Super Lig | RB | 17 | 1168 | 38% | 0 | 2 | 0.15 | 0.11 | 1343 | 1410 | 0.45 |
| 2018/19 | Trabzonspor | Super Lig | RB | 11 | 923 | 30% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 1368 | 1459 | 0.58 |
| 2017/18 | Trabzonspor | Super Lig | RB | 7 | 581 | 19% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 1402 | 1432 | 0.68 |
| 2015/16 | Eskisehirspor | Super Lig | RB | 26 | 2246 | 73% | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 0.09 | 1406 | 1264 | 0.64 |
| 2014/15 | Eskisehirspor | Super Lig | RB | 30 | 2660 | 87% | 0 | 2 | 0.07 | 0.08 | 1425 | 1352 | 0.72 |
| 2013/14 | Eskisehirspor | Super Lig | RB | 11 | 974 | 32% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1450 | 1381 | 0.78 |
| 2012/13 | Kayserispor | Super Lig | RB | 6 | 335 | 11% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.09 | 1422 | 1498 | 0.89 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League | Trabzonspor | 4 | 165 | 0 | 0 | 1521 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christos Karypidis Super League 1 · 2019 | 37 | €100k | €100k | flat |
| Raúl Bravo Super League 1 · 2016 | 35 | €150k | €100k | fell |
| Giannis Christou Super League 1 · 2015 | 34 | €150k | €100k | fell |
| Brian Hämäläinen Superliga · 2024 | 35 | €100k | €50k | fell |
| Lewis Stevenson Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 36 | €100k | €100k | flat |
| Sebastián Bartolini Super League 1 · 2017 | 35 | €150k | €150k | flat |
| Vadym Sapay Premier Liga · 2021 | 35 | €100k | €100k | flat |
| Alan Maybury Scottish Premiership · 2014 | 36 | €150k | €75k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Jan 2026 | Hatayspor | Kasimpasa | Free / loan | €100k |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Trabzonspor | Hatayspor | Free / loan | €400k |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Eskisehirspor | Trabzonspor | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 27 Jan 2014 | Kayserispor | Eskisehirspor | Free / loan | €800k |
| 23 Jan 2014 | Adana Demirspor | Kayserispor | Free / loan | €800k |
| 2 Aug 2013 | Kayserispor | Adana Demirspor | Free / loan | €500k |
| 5 Jan 2012 | Bucaspor | Kayserispor | Free / loan | €500k |
| 24 Nov 2010 | Bucaspor U21 | Bucaspor | Unknown | €50k |
| 1 Jul 2010 | Millwall U18 | Bucaspor U21 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2008 | Fulham Youth | Millwall U18 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.