Hannes Van Der Bruggen

33 yrs · Defensive midfielder (also CM) · Belgium
Cercle Brugge · Jupiler Pro League · Foot: right · Height: 181 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2027
Market value
€400k
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€111k – €341k
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€298k – €1.3M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€98k – €333k
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€43k – €1.2M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€111k – €341k
Model value (performance-implied)€298k – €1.3M
Projected value (24 months)€98k – €333k
Dashed line: current market value (€400k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Hannes Van Der Bruggen's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-1.3M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.1M-0.3M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.59x the positional average in the league (2265 minutes, league coefficient 0.65). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Bargain Index: not assigned

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

Age above 33 (outside validated pool)

PerformanceAverage42th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable33.2 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €148k vs market €400k
Expected appreciationVery low-52% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery largeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationModerateleague coefficient 0.65
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €2.5M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
2265 (84% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.04
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.07
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
42 (Average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.65 (rank 6)
Team strength (Elo)
1325
Opponent strength
1383
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
stable
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€98k – €333k

Trajectory drivers: relative output down 27% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -56% (IQR -61% to -46%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ▲Age 33: resale value typically declines.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
  • ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
60 (MID)
Relative output kept
63%–142%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
72%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Cercle BruggeJupiler Pro LeagueDM28226584%010.040.07138313250.65
2024/25Cercle BruggeJupiler Pro LeagueDM27201475%110.090.10138513610.63
2023/24Cercle BruggeJupiler Pro LeagueDM23187569%010.050.09137513940.63
2022/23Cercle BruggeJupiler Pro LeagueDM2183227%020.220.19132013730.58
2021/22Cercle BruggeJupiler Pro LeagueDM29220972%020.080.10134613050.49
2020/21KV KortrijkJupiler Pro LeagueDM17122940%100.070.09136712600.55
2020/21Cercle BruggeJupiler Pro LeagueDM1049716%010.180.16135512280.55
2019/20KV KortrijkJupiler Pro LeagueDM25207379%320.220.16137413420.63
2018/19KV KortrijkJupiler Pro LeagueDM26213279%020.080.10136813950.65
2017/18KV KortrijkJupiler Pro LeagueDM29255795%040.140.15137013620.63
2016/17KV KortrijkJupiler Pro LeagueCM977729%000.000.11131512710.62
2016/17KAA GentJupiler Pro LeagueCM753320%020.340.16127714740.62
2015/16KAA GentJupiler Pro LeagueDM92248%100.400.10131514790.57
2014/15KAA GentJupiler Pro LeagueDM16105839%150.510.25132414320.54
2013/14KAA GentJupiler Pro LeagueDM23165461%010.050.07132613220.49
2012/13KAA GentJupiler Pro LeagueDM24159559%130.230.18139013080.56

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Jupiler Pro League Relegation Play OffsCercle Brugge4305001237
2024/25Uefa Europa League QualifyingCercle Brugge3207001280
2024/25Uefa Conference League QualifyingCercle Brugge115001320
2016/17Uefa Europa LeagueKAA Gent3245001491
2012/13Uefa Europa League QualifyingKAA Gent3260001401

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Fábio Pacheco
Liga Portugal · 2021
33€300k€75kfell
Charles
Super Lig · 2018
33€300k€125kfell
Jovan Markoski
Premier Liga · 2013
33€600k€200kfell
Faris Haroun
Jupiler Pro League · 2018
33€700k€475kfell
Murat Yildirim
Super Lig · 2019
32€350k€150kfell
Samil Cinaz
Super Lig · 2018
32€400k€300kfell
David Hubert
Jupiler Pro League · 2021
33€300k€150kfell
Adil Auassar
Eredivisie · 2021
35€275k€125kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
19 Jan 2021KV KortrijkCercle Brugge€300k€1.2M
17 Jan 2017KAA GentKV KortrijkFree / loan€1.2M
1 Jan 2011KAA Gent U19KAA GentUnknown€50k
1 Jul 2009KAA Gent YouthKAA Gent U19UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2004FC Denderl. JugKAA Gent YouthFree / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.