
Stevie May
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Stevie May's performance-implied value at EUR 0.1M-0.3M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.0M-0.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.0M-0.1M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.96x the positional average in the league (1610 minutes, league coefficient 0.31). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Market value below EUR 250k (outside validated pool)
| Performance | Below average | 3.4th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 33.7 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €42k vs market €75k |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -5% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.31 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1610 (54% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.17
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.48
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 3 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.31 (rank 26)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 981
- Opponent strength
- 1257
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €49k – €103k
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -18% (IQR -50% to +0%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲League level coefficient 0.31 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ▲Age 34: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Limited sample: 1610 league minutes last season.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 11 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 12 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 75%–114%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 67%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Livingston FC | Scottish Premiership | ST | 29 | 1610 | 54% | 1 | 2 | 0.17 | 0.49 | 1257 | 981 | 0.31 |
| 2023/24 | St. Johnstone FC | Scottish Premiership | ST | 23 | 702 | 24% | 0 | 1 | 0.13 | 0.49 | 1221 | 1105 | 0.34 |
| 2022/23 | St. Johnstone FC | Scottish Premiership | ST | 32 | 2235 | 75% | 7 | 6 | 0.52 | 0.59 | 1297 | 1138 | 0.40 |
| 2021/22 | St. Johnstone FC | Scottish Premiership | ST | 27 | 1190 | 40% | 2 | 1 | 0.23 | 0.46 | 1305 | 1226 | 0.50 |
| 2020/21 | St. Johnstone FC | Scottish Premiership | ST | 30 | 1542 | 52% | 5 | 4 | 0.53 | 0.68 | 1321 | 1307 | 0.54 |
| 2019/20 | St. Johnstone FC | Scottish Premiership | ST | 24 | 1633 | 63% | 6 | 2 | 0.44 | 0.53 | 1269 | 1260 | 0.52 |
| 2018/19 | Aberdeen FC | Scottish Premiership | ST | 27 | 1515 | 51% | 2 | 4 | 0.36 | 0.37 | 1303 | 1359 | 0.44 |
| 2017/18 | Aberdeen FC | Scottish Premiership | ST | 24 | 1849 | 62% | 5 | 6 | 0.54 | 0.39 | 1273 | 1400 | 0.47 |
| 2013/14 | St. Johnstone FC | Scottish Premiership | ST | 38 | 3035 | 89% | 20 | 7 | 0.80 | 0.67 | 1327 | 1320 | 0.44 |
| 2012/13 | St. Johnstone FC | Scottish Premiership | ST | 3 | 51 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.62 | 1329 | 1357 | 0.52 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Scottish Fa Cup | Livingston FC | 1 | 47 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Scottish Fa Cup | Livingston FC | 3 | 254 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Scottish Fa Cup | St. Johnstone FC | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Scottish Fa Cup | St. Johnstone FC | 1 | 67 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | St. Johnstone FC | 2 | 51 | 0 | 0 | 1389 |
| 2021/22 | Scottish Fa Cup | St. Johnstone FC | 1 | 41 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | St. Johnstone FC | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1617 |
| 2020/21 | Scottish Fa Cup | St. Johnstone FC | 3 | 243 | 0 | 2 | — |
| 2019/20 | Scottish Fa Cup | St. Johnstone FC | 3 | 257 | 1 | 1 | — |
| 2018/19 | Scottish Fa Cup | Aberdeen FC | 4 | 182 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Aberdeen FC | 2 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 1501 |
| 2017/18 | Scottish Fa Cup | Aberdeen FC | 4 | 235 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2014/15 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | St. Johnstone FC | 2 | 210 | 2 | 0 | 1402 |
| 2014/15 | Fa Cup | Sheffield Wednesday | 1 | 66 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2013/14 | Scottish Fa Cup | St. Johnstone FC | 5 | 429 | 4 | 1 | — |
| 2013/14 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | St. Johnstone FC | 3 | 190 | 1 | 0 | 1386 |
| 2012/13 | Scottish Fa Cup | Hamilton Academical FC | 2 | 177 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2012/13 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | St. Johnstone FC | 2 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 1384 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ziguy Badibanga Premier Liga · 2024 | 33 | €250k | €250k | flat |
| Georgios Manousos Super League 1 · 2023 | 36 | €150k | €100k | fell |
| Adis Jahovic Super Lig · 2022 | 35 | €275k | €25k | fell |
| Simeon Jackson Scottish Premiership · 2019 | 32 | €250k | €250k | flat |
| Igor Super League 1 · 2016 | 36 | €100k | €100k | flat |
| Anton Shynder Premier Liga · 2021 | 34 | €100k | €100k | flat |
| Denys Kozhanov Premier Liga · 2021 | 34 | €200k | €100k | fell |
| Artem Sitalo Premier Liga · 2023 | 34 | €150k | €75k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2025 | St. Johnstone | Livingston FC | Free / loan | €125k |
| 31 May 2025 | Livingston FC | St. Johnstone | Free / loan | €125k |
| 21 Aug 2024 | St. Johnstone | Livingston FC | Free / loan | €250k |
| 30 Aug 2019 | Aberdeen FC | St. Johnstone | Free / loan | €450k |
| 10 Aug 2017 | Preston | Aberdeen FC | €450k | €750k |
| 1 Sept 2015 | Sheff Wed | Preston | €1.1M | €1.0M |
| 9 Aug 2014 | St. Johnstone | Sheff Wed | €1.0M | €650k |
| 5 May 2013 | Hamilton Acad. | St. Johnstone | Free / loan | €125k |
| 29 Aug 2012 | St. Johnstone | Hamilton Acad. | Free / loan | €125k |
| 15 May 2012 | Alloa Athletic | St. Johnstone | Free / loan | €100k |
| 1 Dec 2011 | St. Johnstone | Alloa Athletic | Free / loan | €100k |
| 1 Jan 2011 | St. Johnstone FC U20 | St. Johnstone | Unknown | €75k |
| 1 Aug 2008 | St. Johnstone FC U17 | St. Johnstone FC U20 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2007 | St. Johnst. Yth | St. Johnstone FC U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.