Dominik Kohr

32 yrs · Centre-back (also AM, CM, DM) · Germany
1.FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga · Foot: right · Height: 183 cm
Risk: ModerateConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2028
Market value
€2.0M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€750k – €2.1M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€1.7M – €9.3M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€598k – €1.5M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€348k – €8.5M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€750k – €2.1M
Model value (performance-implied)€1.7M – €9.3M
Projected value (24 months)€598k – €1.5M
Dashed line: current market value (€2.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Dominik Kohr's performance-implied value at EUR 1.7M-9.3M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.8M-2.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.6M-1.5M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 13

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceHigh84th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable32.4 years
Acquisition costFavorableest. €1.5M vs market €2.0M
Expected appreciationVery low-49% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery largeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationBig-five leagueleague coefficient 0.94
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskModerate
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €8.5M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
2346 (77% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.08
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.06
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
84 (High)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.94 (rank 3)
Team strength (Elo)
1485
Opponent strength
1477
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
stable
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€598k – €1.5M

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -58% (IQR -76% to -52%).

Risk profile

Overall: Moderate

  • ▲Age 32: resale value typically declines.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/261.FSV Mainz 05BundesligaCB29234677%200.080.06147714850.94
2024/251.FSV Mainz 05BundesligaCB28230575%200.080.07149215150.94
2023/241.FSV Mainz 05BundesligaCB31219072%100.040.05150714891.01
2022/231.FSV Mainz 05BundesligaDM30229375%300.120.10150914961.04
2021/221.FSV Mainz 05BundesligaDM22162453%030.170.13149915071.05
2020/211.FSV Mainz 05BundesligaCM17126741%120.210.24151814811.06
2020/21Eintracht FrankfurtBundesligaCM72568%000.000.14148716021.06
2019/20Eintracht FrankfurtBundesligaCM26145247%030.190.16148615351.06
2018/19Bayer 04 LeverkusenBundesligaDM1896732%020.190.16151016251.05
2017/18Bayer 04 LeverkusenBundesligaCM28166654%110.110.14151115691.04
2016/17FC AugsburgBundesligaDM26196564%210.140.14154314521.06
2015/16FC AugsburgBundesligaCM31251082%030.110.12153114751.02
2014/15FC AugsburgBundesligaCM26163954%110.110.15155314931.03
2013/14FC AugsburgBundesligaCM841213%000.000.17159614941.03
2013/14Bayer 04 LeverkusenBundesligaAM230%000.000.27163016021.03
2012/13Bayer 04 LeverkusenBundesligaCB4291%000.000.06142416411.11

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Dfb Pokal1.FSV Mainz 05215400—
2025/26Uefa Conference League Qualifying1.FSV Mainz 052135001337
2024/25Dfb Pokal1.FSV Mainz 05221010—
2023/24Dfb Pokal1.FSV Mainz 05211000—
2022/23Dfb Pokal1.FSV Mainz 05319010—
2021/22Dfb Pokal1.FSV Mainz 05224000—
2020/21Dfb PokalEintracht Frankfurt210200—
2019/20Uefa Europa League QualifyingEintracht Frankfurt5342101307
2019/20Dfb PokalEintracht Frankfurt527702—
2019/20Uefa Europa LeagueEintracht Frankfurt4229001684
2018/19Uefa Europa LeagueBayer 04 Leverkusen5443221464
2018/19Dfb PokalBayer 04 Leverkusen24101—
2017/18Dfb PokalBayer 04 Leverkusen440811—
2016/17Dfb PokalFC Augsburg217601—
2015/16Uefa Europa LeagueFC Augsburg6464011535
2015/16Dfb PokalFC Augsburg215401—
2014/15Dfb PokalFC Augsburg15900—
2013/14Uefa Champions LeagueBayer 04 Leverkusen210001714
2012/13Uefa Europa LeagueBayer 04 Leverkusen2180001491

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Luca Rossettini
Serie A · 2017
32€2.5M€500kfell
Stefan Mitrovic
Laliga · 2022
32€1.8M€1.3Mfell
Aleksandre Amisulashvili
Premier Liga · 2013
31€2.0M€900kfell
Emir Spahic
Laliga · 2013
33€3.0M€1.5Mfell
Federico Peluso
Serie A · 2016
32€1.7M€800kfell
Wederson
Super Lig · 2013
32€2.0M€500kfell
Germán Pezzella
Laliga · 2024
33€3.0M€500kfell
Marko Basa
Ligue 1 · 2015
33€2.5M€1.0Mfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2022FrankfurtMainz€1.5M€5.0M
30 Jun 2022MainzFrankfurtFree / loan€5.0M
18 Jan 2021FrankfurtMainzFree / loan€6.8M
3 Jul 2019LeverkusenFrankfurt€8.5M€4.0M
1 Jul 2017AugsburgLeverkusen€2.0M€3.5M
1 Jul 2015LeverkusenAugsburg€1.4M€2.5M
30 Jun 2015AugsburgLeverkusenFree / loan€2.0M
13 Jan 2014LeverkusenAugsburgFree / loan€500k
1 Jul 2012Leverkusen U19LeverkusenUnknown€200k
1 Jul 2011Leverkusen U17Leverkusen U19UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2009Leverkusen Yth.Leverkusen U17UnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.

Dominik Kohr · MoneyballAI