Héctor Herrera
36 yrs · Central midfielder · Mexico
Deportivo Toluca · Liga Mx Clausura · Foot: right · Height: 183 cm
Contract: until 31 Dec 2026
No model evaluation for this player. MoneyballAI evaluates players with at least 450 league minutes last season in leagues where match-level player data is available from the current free source (14 European top divisions). Market value and transfer history are still shown below.
Market value
€600k
Updated today
Estimated acquisition
—
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
—
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
—
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
—
Model value − acquisition
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Highest recorded: €22.0M
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021/22 | Atlético de Madrid | Laliga | CM | 21 | 851 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.09 | 1502 | 1677 | 1.05 |
| 2020/21 | Atlético de Madrid | Laliga | CM | 16 | 681 | 20% | 0 | 1 | 0.13 | 0.13 | 1514 | 1728 | 1.10 |
| 2019/20 | Atlético de Madrid | Laliga | CM | 21 | 1120 | 33% | 0 | 2 | 0.16 | 0.13 | 1514 | 1759 | 1.16 |
| 2018/19 | FC Porto | Liga Portugal | CM | 33 | 2678 | 88% | 6 | 0 | 0.20 | 0.11 | 1360 | 1685 | 0.65 |
| 2017/18 | FC Porto | Liga Portugal | CM | 29 | 2335 | 76% | 3 | 5 | 0.31 | 0.17 | 1344 | 1650 | 0.64 |
| 2016/17 | FC Porto | Liga Portugal | CM | 23 | 1274 | 42% | 2 | 3 | 0.35 | 0.25 | 1340 | 1545 | 0.58 |
| 2015/16 | FC Porto | Liga Portugal | CM | 29 | 2328 | 76% | 9 | 4 | 0.50 | 0.27 | 1362 | 1515 | 0.58 |
| 2013/14 | FC Porto | Liga Portugal | CM | 17 | 1204 | 45% | 3 | 1 | 0.30 | 0.15 | 1436 | 1603 | 0.74 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021/22 | Uefa Champions League | Atlético de Madrid | 4 | 226 | 0 | 0 | 1717 |
| 2021/22 | Copa Del Rey | Atlético de Madrid | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Supercopa | Atlético de Madrid | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1553 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Champions League | Atlético de Madrid | 5 | 298 | 0 | 1 | 1685 |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Champions League | Atlético de Madrid | 6 | 264 | 1 | 0 | 1649 |
| 2019/20 | Supercopa | Atlético de Madrid | 2 | 101 | 0 | 0 | 1798 |
| 2019/20 | Copa Del Rey | Atlético de Madrid | 1 | 46 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Champions League | FC Porto | 9 | 834 | 2 | 1 | 1592 |
| 2018/19 | Supercup Candido De Oliveira | FC Porto | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1279 |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Champions League | FC Porto | 6 | 531 | 1 | 1 | 1653 |
| 2016/17 | Uefa Champions League | FC Porto | 6 | 322 | 0 | 0 | 1593 |
| 2016/17 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | FC Porto | 2 | 180 | 0 | 2 | 1668 |
| 2015/16 | Uefa Champions League | FC Porto | 4 | 170 | 0 | 0 | 1575 |
| 2015/16 | Uefa Europa League | FC Porto | 2 | 109 | 0 | 0 | 1676 |
| 2013/14 | Uefa Europa League | FC Porto | 5 | 258 | 0 | 0 | 1578 |
| 2013/14 | Uefa Champions League | FC Porto | 3 | 29 | 0 | 0 | 1607 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
No comparables computed for this player.
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan 2026 | Toluca | Houston | Free / loan | €900k |
| 2 Jan 2025 | Houston | Toluca | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 7 Jul 2022 | Atlético | Houston | Free / loan | €5.0M |
| 3 Jul 2019 | Porto | Atlético | Free / loan | €22.0M |
| 1 Jul 2013 | Pachuca | Porto | €11.0M | €6.0M |
| 1 Jul 2011 | CF Pachuca U20 | Pachuca | Unknown | €100k |
| 30 Jun 2011 | Tampico Madero | CF Pachuca U20 | Free / loan | €100k |
| 1 Jan 2011 | CF Pachuca U20 | Tampico Madero | Free / loan | €100k |
| 1 Jul 2010 | U del Fútbol | CF Pachuca U20 | Unknown | €100k |
| 1 Jan 2009 | Tuzos Pachuca | U del Fútbol | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 30 Jun 2008 | CD Cuautla | Tuzos Pachuca | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Aug 2007 | Tuzos Pachuca | CD Cuautla | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.