Daley Blind

36 yrs · Centre-back (also DM, LB) · Netherlands
Girona FC · Laliga · Foot: left · Height: 180 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2027
Market value
€1.2M
Updated today
Estimated acquisition
€393k – €1.1M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€545k – €951k
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€386k – €1.2M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€572k – €558k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€393k – €1.1M
Model value (performance-implied)€545k – €951k
Projected value (24 months)€386k – €1.2M
Dashed line: current market value (€1.2M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Daley Blind's performance-implied value at EUR 0.5M-1.0M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.4M-1.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.4M-1.2M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Bargain Index: not assigned

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

Age above 33 (outside validated pool)

PerformanceHigh77.4th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable36.3 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €524k vs market €1.2M
Expected appreciationVery low-28% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapLargeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationBig-five leagueleague coefficient 0.95
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €25.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
2610 (76% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.00
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.03
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
77 (High)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.95 (rank 2)
Team strength (Elo)
1413
Opponent strength
1474
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
declining
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€386k – €1.2M

Trajectory drivers: relative output down 71% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -65% (IQR -76% to -50%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ▲Age 36: resale value typically declines.
  • ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
  • ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Girona FCLaligaCB31261076%000.000.03147414130.95
2024/25Girona FCLaligaCB34278081%030.100.08149614030.95
2023/24Girona FCLaligaCB34297287%120.090.08147716211.00
2022/23Ajax AmsterdamEredivisieLB1394331%020.190.06127815930.58
2022/23Bayern MunichBundesligaCB41314%000.000.02149118171.04
2021/22Ajax AmsterdamEredivisieLB34281692%120.100.05131617490.60
2020/21Ajax AmsterdamEredivisieCB23196564%110.090.04133817220.56
2019/20Ajax AmsterdamEredivisieCB20174578%010.050.02133316800.62
2018/19Ajax AmsterdamEredivisieCB34297397%540.270.09133117460.61
2017/18Manchester UnitedPremier LeagueLB736111%000.000.06147817471.15
2016/17Manchester UnitedPremier LeagueLB23182953%120.150.10152416941.07
2015/16Manchester UnitedPremier LeagueCB35311691%110.060.05151616191.08
2014/15Manchester UnitedPremier LeagueDM25217264%230.210.12153616701.06
2014/15Ajax AmsterdamEredivisieDM31986%010.450.16143115430.52
2013/14Ajax AmsterdamEredivisieDM29250982%110.070.05133515510.59
2012/13Ajax AmsterdamEredivisieCB34288594%220.120.06135415440.54

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2024/25Uefa Champions LeagueGirona FC4323001650
2024/25Copa Del ReyGirona FC215000—
2023/24Copa Del ReyGirona FC324120—
2022/23Uefa Champions LeagueAjax Amsterdam5410001745
2022/23Johan Cruijff SchaalAjax Amsterdam190001641
2022/23Dfb PokalBayern Munich12600—
2021/22Uefa Champions LeagueAjax Amsterdam8572111618
2021/22Knvb BekerAjax Amsterdam325500—
2021/22Johan Cruijff SchaalAjax Amsterdam174001612
2020/21Uefa Champions LeagueAjax Amsterdam5415001650
2020/21Uefa Europa LeagueAjax Amsterdam3245001602
2020/21Knvb BekerAjax Amsterdam322501—
2019/20Uefa Champions LeagueAjax Amsterdam5428001668
2019/20Uefa Champions League QualifyingAjax Amsterdam4360001500
2019/20Uefa Europa LeagueAjax Amsterdam2180001649
2019/20Knvb BekerAjax Amsterdam210300—
2019/20Johan Cruijff SchaalAjax Amsterdam184101642
2018/19Uefa Champions LeagueAjax Amsterdam121080001714
2018/19Knvb BekerAjax Amsterdam546520—
2018/19Uefa Champions League QualifyingAjax Amsterdam6401001466
2017/18Uefa Champions LeagueManchester United6540111579
2017/18Fa CupManchester United19000—
2016/17Uefa Europa LeagueManchester United11971001549
2016/17Fa CupManchester United19000—
2016/17Community ShieldManchester United190001659
2015/16Fa CupManchester United766010—
2015/16Uefa Champions LeagueManchester United6476001640
2015/16Uefa Europa LeagueManchester United4360001514
2015/16Uefa Champions League QualifyingManchester United2180011545
2014/15Fa CupManchester United435600—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Jérémy Sorbon
Ligue 1 · 2018
35€1.0M€250kfell
Loïc Perrin
Ligue 1 · 2020
35€1.2M€1.2Mflat
Ismaël Traoré
Ligue 1 · 2020
34€1.2M€600kfell
Bruno Alves
Serie A · 2020
39€800k€100kfell
Dario Dainelli
Serie A · 2013
34€600k€300kfell
Bostjan Cesar
Serie A · 2015
33€800k€300kfell
Briguel
Liga Portugal · 2013
34€500k€100kfell
Maurizio Domizzi
Serie A · 2014
34€600k€200kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
7 Jul 2023Bayern MunichGironaFree / loan€3.0M
5 Jan 2023AjaxBayern MunichFree / loan€6.0M
17 Jul 2018Man UtdAjax€16.0M€18.0M
1 Sept 2014AjaxMan Utd€17.5M€12.0M
30 Jun 2010FC GroningenAjaxFree / loan€750k
1 Jan 2010AjaxFC GroningenFree / loan€750k
1 Jan 2009Ajax U21AjaxUnknown€100k
1 Jul 2008Ajax U19Ajax U21UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2007Ajax U17Ajax U19UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2005Ajax YouthAjax U17UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 1998AFC YouthAjax YouthUnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.