
Rani Khedira
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Rani Khedira's performance-implied value at EUR 1.7M-4.7M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.6M-2.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.7M-1.6M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.78x the positional average in the league (2835 minutes, league coefficient 0.94). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: 31
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | High | 79.7th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 32.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €1.3M vs market €2.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -43% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.94 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2835 (93% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.22
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.22
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 80 (High)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.94 (rank 3)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1392
- Opponent strength
- 1497
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €676k – €1.6M
Trajectory drivers: relative output up 127% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -36% (IQR -45% to -26%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ▲Age 32: resale value typically declines.
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | 1.FC Union Berlin | Bundesliga | DM | 32 | 2835 | 93% | 5 | 2 | 0.22 | 0.22 | 1497 | 1392 | 0.94 |
| 2024/25 | 1.FC Union Berlin | Bundesliga | DM | 32 | 2727 | 89% | 1 | 1 | 0.07 | 0.10 | 1507 | 1394 | 0.94 |
| 2023/24 | 1.FC Union Berlin | Bundesliga | DM | 20 | 1350 | 44% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1483 | 1431 | 1.01 |
| 2022/23 | 1.FC Union Berlin | Bundesliga | DM | 33 | 2888 | 94% | 2 | 0 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 1514 | 1587 | 1.04 |
| 2021/22 | 1.FC Union Berlin | Bundesliga | DM | 32 | 2765 | 90% | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 0.05 | 1531 | 1568 | 1.05 |
| 2020/21 | FC Augsburg | Bundesliga | DM | 27 | 1824 | 60% | 1 | 0 | 0.05 | 0.07 | 1511 | 1396 | 1.06 |
| 2019/20 | FC Augsburg | Bundesliga | DM | 32 | 2657 | 87% | 0 | 2 | 0.07 | 0.10 | 1532 | 1408 | 1.06 |
| 2018/19 | FC Augsburg | Bundesliga | CB | 30 | 2627 | 86% | 4 | 1 | 0.17 | 0.16 | 1522 | 1409 | 1.05 |
| 2017/18 | FC Augsburg | Bundesliga | DM | 30 | 2280 | 75% | 1 | 1 | 0.08 | 0.08 | 1520 | 1461 | 1.04 |
| 2016/17 | RB Leipzig | Bundesliga | DM | 10 | 157 | 5% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.09 | 1619 | 1594 | 1.06 |
| 2013/14 | VfB Stuttgart | Bundesliga | DM | 9 | 527 | 17% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 1610 | 1398 | 1.03 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Dfb Pokal | 1.FC Union Berlin | 3 | 300 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | World Cup | Tunisia | 3 | 151 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Dfb Pokal | 1.FC Union Berlin | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League | 1.FC Union Berlin | 4 | 293 | 0 | 0 | 1690 |
| 2023/24 | Dfb Pokal | 1.FC Union Berlin | 1 | 78 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Europa League | 1.FC Union Berlin | 10 | 900 | 0 | 0 | 1544 |
| 2022/23 | Dfb Pokal | 1.FC Union Berlin | 3 | 300 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Dfb Pokal | 1.FC Union Berlin | 5 | 423 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | 1.FC Union Berlin | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1389 |
| 2020/21 | Dfb Pokal | FC Augsburg | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Dfb Pokal | FC Augsburg | 1 | 23 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Dfb Pokal | FC Augsburg | 4 | 395 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Dfb Pokal | FC Augsburg | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheikh N'Doye Ligue 1 · 2017 | 31 | €3.0M | €2.0M | fell |
| Blagoy Georgiev Premier Liga · 2013 | 32 | €1.5M | €1.0M | fell |
| Thomas Mangani Ligue 1 · 2018 | 31 | €3.5M | €1.6M | fell |
| Christian Gentner Bundesliga · 2016 | 31 | €3.5M | €2.0M | fell |
| Dani Rodríguez Laliga · 2020 | 32 | €1.2M | €1.2M | flat |
| Matthias Lehmann Bundesliga · 2015 | 32 | €750k | €750k | flat |
| Guillaume Gillet Ligue 1 · 2015 | 31 | €2.0M | €1.0M | fell |
| Dalibor Stevanovic Premier Liga · 2015 | 31 | €650k | €400k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2021 | Augsburg | Union Berlin | Free / loan | €5.0M |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Leipzig | Augsburg | Free / loan | €750k |
| 1 Jul 2014 | Stuttgart | Leipzig | €500k | €750k |
| 23 Oct 2012 | Stuttgart II | Stuttgart | Unknown | €300k |
| 1 Jul 2012 | Stuttgart U19 | Stuttgart II | Unknown | €300k |
| 1 Jul 2011 | Stuttgart U17 | Stuttgart U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2009 | Stuttgart Yth. | Stuttgart U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2005 | Oeffingen Yth. | Stuttgart Yth. | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.