Rani Khedira

32 yrs · Defensive midfielder (also CB) · Tunisia
1.FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga · Foot: right · Height: 188 cm
Risk: ModerateConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: Data unavailable
Market value
€2.0M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€640k – €2.5M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€1.7M – €4.7M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€676k – €1.6M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€877k – €4.0M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€640k – €2.5M
Model value (performance-implied)€1.7M – €4.7M
Projected value (24 months)€676k – €1.6M
Dashed line: current market value (€2.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Rani Khedira's performance-implied value at EUR 1.7M-4.7M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.6M-2.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.7M-1.6M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.78x the positional average in the league (2835 minutes, league coefficient 0.94). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.

Bargain Index: 31

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceHigh79.7th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable32.4 years
Acquisition costFavorableest. €1.3M vs market €2.0M
Expected appreciationVery low-43% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery largeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationBig-five leagueleague coefficient 0.94
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskModerate
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €10.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
2835 (93% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.22
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.22
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
80 (High)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.94 (rank 3)
Team strength (Elo)
1392
Opponent strength
1497
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
improving
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€676k – €1.6M

Trajectory drivers: relative output up 127% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -36% (IQR -45% to -26%).

Risk profile

Overall: Moderate

  • ▲Age 32: resale value typically declines.
  • ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/261.FC Union BerlinBundesligaDM32283593%520.220.22149713920.94
2024/251.FC Union BerlinBundesligaDM32272789%110.070.10150713940.94
2023/241.FC Union BerlinBundesligaDM20135044%000.000.05148314311.01
2022/231.FC Union BerlinBundesligaDM33288894%200.060.06151415871.04
2021/221.FC Union BerlinBundesligaDM32276590%010.030.05153115681.05
2020/21FC AugsburgBundesligaDM27182460%100.050.07151113961.06
2019/20FC AugsburgBundesligaDM32265787%020.070.10153214081.06
2018/19FC AugsburgBundesligaCB30262786%410.170.16152214091.05
2017/18FC AugsburgBundesligaDM30228075%110.080.08152014611.04
2016/17RB LeipzigBundesligaDM101575%000.000.09161915941.06
2013/14VfB StuttgartBundesligaDM952717%000.000.10161013981.03

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Dfb Pokal1.FC Union Berlin330000—
2025/26World CupTunisia315100—
2024/25Dfb Pokal1.FC Union Berlin218000—
2023/24Uefa Champions League1.FC Union Berlin4293001690
2023/24Dfb Pokal1.FC Union Berlin17800—
2022/23Uefa Europa League1.FC Union Berlin10900001544
2022/23Dfb Pokal1.FC Union Berlin330000—
2021/22Dfb Pokal1.FC Union Berlin542300—
2021/22Uefa Conference League Qualifying1.FC Union Berlin2180001389
2020/21Dfb PokalFC Augsburg218000—
2019/20Dfb PokalFC Augsburg12300—
2018/19Dfb PokalFC Augsburg439500—
2017/18Dfb PokalFC Augsburg19000—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Cheikh N'Doye
Ligue 1 · 2017
31€3.0M€2.0Mfell
Blagoy Georgiev
Premier Liga · 2013
32€1.5M€1.0Mfell
Thomas Mangani
Ligue 1 · 2018
31€3.5M€1.6Mfell
Christian Gentner
Bundesliga · 2016
31€3.5M€2.0Mfell
Dani Rodríguez
Laliga · 2020
32€1.2M€1.2Mflat
Matthias Lehmann
Bundesliga · 2015
32€750k€750kflat
Guillaume Gillet
Ligue 1 · 2015
31€2.0M€1.0Mfell
Dalibor Stevanovic
Premier Liga · 2015
31€650k€400kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2021AugsburgUnion BerlinFree / loan€5.0M
1 Jul 2017LeipzigAugsburgFree / loan€750k
1 Jul 2014StuttgartLeipzig€500k€750k
23 Oct 2012Stuttgart IIStuttgartUnknown€300k
1 Jul 2012Stuttgart U19Stuttgart IIUnknown€300k
1 Jul 2011Stuttgart U17Stuttgart U19UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2009Stuttgart Yth.Stuttgart U17UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2005Oeffingen Yth.Stuttgart Yth.Free / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.