Marvin Peersman

35 yrs · Left-back (also RB) · Belgium
FC Groningen · Eredivisie · Foot: left · Height: 185 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2028
Market value
€250k
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€58k – €267k
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€155k – €377k
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€106k – €241k
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€112k – €319k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€58k – €267k
Model value (performance-implied)€155k – €377k
Projected value (24 months)€106k – €241k
Dashed line: current market value (€250k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Marvin Peersman's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-0.4M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.1M-0.2M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: not assigned

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

Age above 33 (outside validated pool)

PerformanceBelow average27.1th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable35.4 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €141k vs market €250k
Expected appreciationVery low-29% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapLargeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.43
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €500k

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
2828 (92% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.13
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.12
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
27 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.43 (rank 15)
Team strength (Elo)
1248
Opponent strength
1300
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
improving
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€106k – €241k

Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 33 pts.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -27% (IQR -31% to +0%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ▲Age 35: resale value typically declines.
  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
82 (DEF)
Relative output kept
65%–166%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
78%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26FC GroningenEredivisieLB33282892%310.130.12130012480.43
2024/25FC GroningenEredivisieLB26180559%020.100.14130411970.50
2022/23Aris ThessalonikisSuper League 1LB19136758%020.130.12118813140.37
2021/22PAS GianninaSuper League 1LB22197084%230.230.26124412480.39
2020/21PAS GianninaSuper League 1LB25224896%030.120.19128611970.39
2015/16SC Cambuur LeeuwardenEredivisieRB32280992%030.100.12131711480.58
2014/15FC DordrechtEredivisieLB26213470%000.000.05135711010.52

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Knvb BekerFC Groningen16001—
2024/25Knvb BekerFC Groningen18200—
2022/23Uefa Conference League QualifyingAris Thessalonikis4298001463
2022/23Kypello ElladasAris Thessalonikis325300—
2021/22Kypello ElladasPAS Giannina15400—
2020/21Kypello ElladasPAS Giannina545001—
2015/16Knvb BekerSC Cambuur Leeuwarden13300—
2014/15Knvb BekerFC Dordrecht19000—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Johnny Thomsen
Superliga · 2019
37€200k€100kfell
Edwin Ouon
Super League 1 · 2017
36€150k€150kflat
Ricky Foster
Scottish Premiership · 2019
34€350k€250kfell
Paul Hanlon
Scottish Premiership · 2023
33€350k€250kfell
Mads Agesen
Superliga · 2017
34€200k€200kflat
Steven Anderson
Scottish Premiership · 2018
33€400k€250kfell
Kenneth Emil Petersen
Superliga · 2018
33€300k€300kflat
Sergiy Yavorskyi
Premier Liga · 2021
32€400k€300kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
3 Jul 2023Aris SalonikiFC GroningenFree / loan€500k
1 Jul 2022PAS GianninaAris SalonikiFree / loan€500k
7 Aug 2020Hapoel Tel AvivPAS GianninaFree / loan€300k
30 Jan 2018SC CambuurHapoel Tel AvivUnknown€350k
1 Jul 2015FC DordrechtSC CambuurFree / loan€350k
11 Sept 2012Without ClubFC DordrechtUnknown€200k
1 Jul 2012Royal AntwerpWithout ClubUnknown€200k
1 Jul 2010KSK BeverenRoyal AntwerpUnknown€200k
1 Jul 2009Beveren U19KSK BeverenUnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.