
Marvin Peersman
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Marvin Peersman's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-0.4M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.1M-0.2M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Age above 33 (outside validated pool)
| Performance | Below average | 27.1th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 35.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €141k vs market €250k |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -29% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2828 (92% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.13
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.12
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 27 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.43 (rank 15)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1248
- Opponent strength
- 1300
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €106k – €241k
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 33 pts.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -27% (IQR -31% to +0%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Age 35: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 82 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 65%–166%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 78%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FC Groningen | Eredivisie | LB | 33 | 2828 | 92% | 3 | 1 | 0.13 | 0.12 | 1300 | 1248 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | FC Groningen | Eredivisie | LB | 26 | 1805 | 59% | 0 | 2 | 0.10 | 0.14 | 1304 | 1197 | 0.50 |
| 2022/23 | Aris Thessalonikis | Super League 1 | LB | 19 | 1367 | 58% | 0 | 2 | 0.13 | 0.12 | 1188 | 1314 | 0.37 |
| 2021/22 | PAS Giannina | Super League 1 | LB | 22 | 1970 | 84% | 2 | 3 | 0.23 | 0.26 | 1244 | 1248 | 0.39 |
| 2020/21 | PAS Giannina | Super League 1 | LB | 25 | 2248 | 96% | 0 | 3 | 0.12 | 0.19 | 1286 | 1197 | 0.39 |
| 2015/16 | SC Cambuur Leeuwarden | Eredivisie | RB | 32 | 2809 | 92% | 0 | 3 | 0.10 | 0.12 | 1317 | 1148 | 0.58 |
| 2014/15 | FC Dordrecht | Eredivisie | LB | 26 | 2134 | 70% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1357 | 1101 | 0.52 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Knvb Beker | FC Groningen | 1 | 60 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2024/25 | Knvb Beker | FC Groningen | 1 | 82 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Aris Thessalonikis | 4 | 298 | 0 | 0 | 1463 |
| 2022/23 | Kypello Elladas | Aris Thessalonikis | 3 | 253 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Kypello Elladas | PAS Giannina | 1 | 54 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Kypello Elladas | PAS Giannina | 5 | 450 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2015/16 | Knvb Beker | SC Cambuur Leeuwarden | 1 | 33 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2014/15 | Knvb Beker | FC Dordrecht | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnny Thomsen Superliga · 2019 | 37 | €200k | €100k | fell |
| Edwin Ouon Super League 1 · 2017 | 36 | €150k | €150k | flat |
| Ricky Foster Scottish Premiership · 2019 | 34 | €350k | €250k | fell |
| Paul Hanlon Scottish Premiership · 2023 | 33 | €350k | €250k | fell |
| Mads Agesen Superliga · 2017 | 34 | €200k | €200k | flat |
| Steven Anderson Scottish Premiership · 2018 | 33 | €400k | €250k | fell |
| Kenneth Emil Petersen Superliga · 2018 | 33 | €300k | €300k | flat |
| Sergiy Yavorskyi Premier Liga · 2021 | 32 | €400k | €300k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Jul 2023 | Aris Saloniki | FC Groningen | Free / loan | €500k |
| 1 Jul 2022 | PAS Giannina | Aris Saloniki | Free / loan | €500k |
| 7 Aug 2020 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | PAS Giannina | Free / loan | €300k |
| 30 Jan 2018 | SC Cambuur | Hapoel Tel Aviv | Unknown | €350k |
| 1 Jul 2015 | FC Dordrecht | SC Cambuur | Free / loan | €350k |
| 11 Sept 2012 | Without Club | FC Dordrecht | Unknown | €200k |
| 1 Jul 2012 | Royal Antwerp | Without Club | Unknown | €200k |
| 1 Jul 2010 | KSK Beveren | Royal Antwerp | Unknown | €200k |
| 1 Jul 2009 | Beveren U19 | KSK Beveren | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.