Yuriy Lodygin

36 yrs · Goalkeeper · Russia
APO Levadiakos Football Club · Super League 1 · Foot: right · Height: 187 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: Data unavailable
Market value
€250k
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€53k – €398k
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€175k – €399k
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€68k – €238k
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€223k – €346k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€53k – €398k
Model value (performance-implied)€175k – €399k
Projected value (24 months)€68k – €238k
Dashed line: current market value (€250k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Yuriy Lodygin's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-0.4M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.1M-0.2M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.

Bargain Index: not assigned

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

Age above 33 (outside validated pool)

PerformanceAverage42.4th pct among GK peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable36.1 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €145k vs market €250k
Expected appreciationVery low-29% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapSmallweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.43
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €10.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 284 evaluated GK players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
2160 (92% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.00
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.00
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
42 (Average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.42 (rank 16)
Team strength (Elo)
1260
Opponent strength
1263
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
insufficient
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€68k – €238k

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -26% (IQR -59% to -5%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ▲Age 36: resale value typically declines.
  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
  • ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
58 (all positions)
Relative output kept
63%–179%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
60%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26APO Levadiakos Football ClubSuper League 1GK24216092%000.000.00126312600.43
2024/25Panathinaikos Athlitikos OmilosSuper League 1GK428512%000.000.01135214020.35
2023/24Panathinaikos Athlitikos OmilosSuper League 1GK1199042%000.000.00120314530.42
2021/22PAS GianninaSuper League 1GK22198085%000.000.00125612480.39
2020/21PAS GianninaSuper League 1GK872031%000.000.00128811970.39
2019/20Arsenal TulaPremier LigaGK21807%000.000.00138113270.63
2019/20Gaziantep FKSuper LigGK21806%000.000.00145312840.45
2018/19Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon PeiraiosSuper League 1GK21807%000.000.00124215570.43
2017/18AO FK Zenit Sankt-PeterburgPremier LigaGK1186832%000.000.00143215810.75
2016/17AO FK Zenit Sankt-PeterburgPremier LigaGK15130548%000.000.00144816160.70
2015/16AO FK Zenit Sankt-PeterburgPremier LigaGK27243090%000.000.00145316290.79
2014/15AO FK Zenit Sankt-PeterburgPremier LigaGK28252093%000.000.00145316630.88
2013/14AO FK Zenit Sankt-PeterburgPremier LigaGK30268399%000.000.00145716500.92
2012/13AO XanthiSuper League 1GK22198073%000.000.00134113450.57

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Kypello ElladasAPO Levadiakos Football Club434400—
2024/25Kypello ElladasPanathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos436000—
2023/24Kypello ElladasPanathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos330000—
2023/24Uefa Europa LeaguePanathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos190001461
2022/23Kypello ElladasPanathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos436000—
2021/22Kypello ElladasPAS Giannina112000—
2020/21Kypello ElladasPAS Giannina436000—
2018/19Uefa Europa League QualifyingAO FK Zenit Sankt-Peterburg190001421
2018/19Kypello ElladasOlympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios19000—
2017/18Uefa Europa LeagueAO FK Zenit Sankt-Peterburg2180001468
2017/18Russian CupAO FK Zenit Sankt-Peterburg112000—
2017/18Uefa Europa League QualifyingAO FK Zenit Sankt-Peterburg190001357
2016/17Uefa Europa LeagueAO FK Zenit Sankt-Peterburg7630001490
2016/17Russian CupAO FK Zenit Sankt-Peterburg212100—
2016/17Russian Super CupAO FK Zenit Sankt-Peterburg190001594
2015/16Uefa Champions LeagueAO FK Zenit Sankt-Peterburg6540001639
2015/16Russian CupAO FK Zenit Sankt-Peterburg321100—
2015/16Russian Super CupAO FK Zenit Sankt-Peterburg1120001513
2014/15Uefa Champions LeagueAO FK Zenit Sankt-Peterburg6540001639
2014/15Uefa Europa LeagueAO FK Zenit Sankt-Peterburg6540001610
2014/15Uefa Champions League QualifyingAO FK Zenit Sankt-Peterburg4360001427
2013/14Uefa Champions LeagueAO FK Zenit Sankt-Peterburg7630001639
2013/14Uefa Champions League QualifyingAO FK Zenit Sankt-Peterburg4360001436
2013/14Russian Super CupAO FK Zenit Sankt-Peterburg190001578
2012/13Kypello ElladasAO Xanthi19000—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Trevor Carson
Scottish Premiership · 2023
35€275k€100kfell
Oleksandr Bandura
Premier Liga · 2021
35€200k€200kflat
Luigi Cennamo
Super League 1 · 2016
36€250k€100kfell
Hannes Thór Halldórsson
Superliga · 2017
33€400k€350kflat
Igor Lytovka
Premier Liga · 2022
34€300k€125kfell
Craig Samson
Scottish Premiership · 2017
33€350k€325kflat
Denys Boyko
Premier Liga · 2024
36€300k€300kflat
Silviu Lung Jr.
Super Lig · 2022
33€400k€250kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
12 Aug 2025PanathinaikosLevadiakosFree / loan€300k
1 Jul 2022PAS GianninaPanathinaikosFree / loan€500k
20 Jan 2021Without ClubPAS GianninaUnknown€500k
1 Aug 2020Arsenal TulaWithout ClubUnknown€600k
18 Feb 2020Gaziantep FKArsenal TulaFree / loan€500k
2 Aug 2019Zenit S-PbGaziantep FKFree / loan€1.5M
30 Jun 2019OlympiacosZenit S-PbFree / loan€1.5M
27 Jan 2019Zenit S-PbOlympiacosFree / loan€2.0M
1 Jul 2013XanthiZenit S-Pb€800k€500k
30 Jun 2011Eordaikos 2007XanthiFree / loan€150k
1 Jul 2010XanthiEordaikos 2007Free / loan€150k
1 Jul 2009Skoda Xanthi U21XanthiUnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.

Yuriy Lodygin · MoneyballAI