Idrissa Gueye

The model rates Idrissa Gueye's performance-implied value at EUR 1.2M-4.2M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-0.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.3M-0.5M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.27x the positional average in the league (2102 minutes, league coefficient 1.30). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.

Age above 33 (outside validated pool)

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Minutes

2102 (62% of available)

Goals + assists / 90

0.21

Context-adjusted G+A / 90

0.16

xG, xA, progression

Data unavailable

Defensive actions

Data unavailable

Performance percentile

96 (Elite)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

League strength

1.30 (rank 1)

Team strength (Elo)

1556

Opponent strength

1603

Possession, role

Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Development

Low

Trajectory

stable

Breakout probability

Age > 23

Resale range (24m)

€268k – €503k

Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 28 pts; relative output up 50% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -54% (IQR -69% to -32%).

• ▲Age 37: resale value typically declines.
• ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
• ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.