Cédric Bakambu
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Cédric Bakambu's performance-implied value at EUR 0.7M-3.1M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.4M-1.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.4M-1.1M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.98x the positional average in the league (562 minutes, league coefficient 0.95). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Above average | 67.4th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 35.2 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €902k vs market €1.2M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -28% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.95 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 901 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 562 (16% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.64
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.50
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 67 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.95 (rank 2)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1549
- Opponent strength
- 1529
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €370k – €1.1M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -58% (IQR -78% to -48%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Small sample: 562 league minutes last season.
- ▲Age 35: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Real Betis Balompié | Laliga | ST | 18 | 562 | 16% | 3 | 1 | 0.64 | 0.50 | 1529 | 1549 | 0.95 |
| 2024/25 | Real Betis Balompié | Laliga | ST | 25 | 696 | 20% | 2 | 2 | 0.52 | 0.49 | 1490 | 1555 | 0.95 |
| 2023/24 | Real Betis Balompié | Laliga | ST | 4 | 195 | 6% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.45 | 1465 | 1520 | 1.00 |
| 2023/24 | Galatasaray | Super Lig | ST | 10 | 185 | 5% | 1 | 1 | 0.97 | 0.36 | 1271 | 1597 | 0.45 |
| 2022/23 | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | Super League 1 | ST | 22 | 1437 | 61% | 13 | 2 | 0.94 | 0.68 | 1250 | 1446 | 0.37 |
| 2022/23 | Olympique Marseille | Ligue 1 | ST | 3 | 56 | 2% | 0 | 1 | 1.61 | 0.41 | 1421 | 1568 | 0.82 |
| 2021/22 | Olympique Marseille | Ligue 1 | ST | 12 | 355 | 10% | 4 | 0 | 1.01 | 0.51 | 1391 | 1591 | 0.86 |
| 2017/18 | Villarreal CF | Laliga | ST | 15 | 1269 | 37% | 9 | 0 | 0.64 | 0.53 | 1539 | 1569 | 1.11 |
| 2016/17 | Villarreal CF | Laliga | ST | 26 | 1567 | 46% | 10 | 2 | 0.69 | 0.52 | 1544 | 1623 | 1.11 |
| 2015/16 | Villarreal CF | Laliga | ST | 34 | 1858 | 54% | 12 | 3 | 0.73 | 0.52 | 1589 | 1630 | 1.17 |
| 2014/15 | Bursaspor | Super Lig | LW | 27 | 1839 | 60% | 13 | 5 | 0.88 | 0.67 | 1422 | 1468 | 0.72 |
| 2013/14 | FC Sochaux-Montbéliard | Ligue 1 | ST | 31 | 2024 | 59% | 7 | 2 | 0.40 | 0.60 | 1471 | 1361 | 0.79 |
| 2012/13 | FC Sochaux-Montbéliard | Ligue 1 | ST | 33 | 2302 | 67% | 8 | 1 | 0.35 | 0.51 | 1457 | 1389 | 0.88 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League | Real Betis Balompié | 6 | 420 | 1 | 2 | 1501 |
| 2025/26 | Africa Cup Of Nations | Democratic Republic of the Congo | 3 | 238 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | World Cup | Democratic Republic of the Congo | 3 | 193 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | Copa Del Rey | Real Betis Balompié | 3 | 193 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Copa Del Rey | Real Betis Balompié | 3 | 147 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Galatasaray | 4 | 141 | 0 | 0 | 1368 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League | Galatasaray | 2 | 37 | 1 | 0 | 1608 |
| 2022/23 | Kypello Elladas | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | 5 | 266 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Europa League | Villarreal CF | 5 | 260 | 3 | 0 | 1434 |
| 2017/18 | Copa Del Rey | Villarreal CF | 1 | 75 | 2 | 0 | — |
| 2016/17 | Uefa Europa League | Villarreal CF | 7 | 374 | 0 | 0 | 1496 |
| 2016/17 | Copa Del Rey | Villarreal CF | 1 | 83 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2015/16 | Uefa Europa League | Villarreal CF | 13 | 940 | 9 | 0 | 1591 |
| 2015/16 | Copa Del Rey | Villarreal CF | 3 | 146 | 1 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roman Pavlyuchenko Premier Liga · 2015 | 34 | €1.3M | €200k | fell |
| Gigel Bucur Premier Liga · 2013 | 33 | €1.0M | €350k | fell |
| Sven Michel Bundesliga · 2023 | 33 | €900k | €700k | fell |
| Andriy Voronin Premier Liga · 2014 | 35 | €1.0M | €500k | fell |
| José Luis Morales Laliga · 2024 | 37 | €1.5M | €200k | fell |
| Enric Gallego Laliga · 2021 | 35 | €1.0M | €600k | fell |
| Rickie Lambert Premier League · 2016 | 34 | €3.0M | €1.5M | fell |
| Billy Sharp Premier League · 2020 | 34 | €1.6M | €400k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Feb 2024 | Galatasaray | Real Betis | €5.0M | €2.8M |
| 23 Jul 2023 | Al-Nasr | Galatasaray | €700k | €5.0M |
| 1 Jul 2023 | Olympiacos | Al-Nasr | Free / loan | €5.0M |
| 15 Sept 2022 | Marseille | Olympiacos | Free / loan | €8.0M |
| 13 Jan 2022 | BJ Guoan | Marseille | Free / loan | €12.0M |
| 17 Jan 2018 | Villarreal | BJ Guoan | €40.0M | €25.0M |
| 19 Aug 2015 | Bursaspor | Villarreal | €7.5M | €5.5M |
| 1 Sept 2014 | FC Sochaux | Bursaspor | €1.8M | €3.0M |
| 1 Jul 2010 | FC Sochaux B | FC Sochaux | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2009 | FC Sochaux U19 | FC Sochaux B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2008 | FC Sochaux U17 | FC Sochaux U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2006 | US Ivry Yth. | FC Sochaux U17 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.