
Alexandru Maxim
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Alexandru Maxim's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-0.7M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.1M-0.3M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.69x the positional average in the league (2698 minutes, league coefficient 0.40). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Age above 33 (outside validated pool)
| Performance | Average | 45th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 36 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €102k vs market €300k |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -30% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.4 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2698 (88% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.40
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.37
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 45 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.40 (rank 18)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1167
- Opponent strength
- 1270
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €103k – €292k
Trajectory drivers: role change AM -> CM; relative output up 39% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -48% (IQR -52% to -38%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Age 36: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 35 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 77%–144%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 69%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Gaziantep FK | Super Lig | CM | 33 | 2698 | 88% | 5 | 7 | 0.40 | 0.37 | 1270 | 1167 | 0.40 |
| 2024/25 | Gaziantep FK | Super Lig | AM | 34 | 2635 | 81% | 7 | 6 | 0.44 | 0.48 | 1284 | 1198 | 0.39 |
| 2023/24 | Gaziantep FK | Super Lig | AM | 34 | 2678 | 78% | 3 | 9 | 0.40 | 0.56 | 1304 | 1212 | 0.45 |
| 2022/23 | Gaziantep FK | Super Lig | AM | 21 | 1888 | 58% | 4 | 6 | 0.48 | 0.45 | 1287 | 1106 | 0.50 |
| 2022/23 | Beşiktaş Jimnastik Kulübü | Super Lig | AM | 11 | 275 | 8% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.21 | 1322 | 1517 | 0.50 |
| 2021/22 | Gaziantep FK | Super Lig | AM | 31 | 2496 | 73% | 14 | 7 | 0.76 | 0.65 | 1256 | 1238 | 0.42 |
| 2020/21 | Gaziantep FK | Super Lig | LM | 38 | 3045 | 85% | 15 | 3 | 0.53 | 0.36 | 1277 | 1252 | 0.37 |
| 2019/20 | Gaziantep FK | Super Lig | LM | 15 | 1293 | 42% | 7 | 2 | 0.63 | 0.37 | 1346 | 1284 | 0.45 |
| 2019/20 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 | Bundesliga | CM | 5 | 113 | 4% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.20 | 1522 | 1471 | 1.06 |
| 2018/19 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 | Bundesliga | AM | 22 | 565 | 18% | 1 | 0 | 0.16 | 0.22 | 1424 | 1488 | 1.05 |
| 2017/18 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 | Bundesliga | AM | 22 | 958 | 31% | 2 | 2 | 0.38 | 0.43 | 1492 | 1444 | 1.04 |
| 2015/16 | VfB Stuttgart | Bundesliga | AM | 25 | 1049 | 34% | 1 | 6 | 0.60 | 0.51 | 1507 | 1379 | 1.02 |
| 2014/15 | VfB Stuttgart | Bundesliga | AM | 26 | 1447 | 47% | 2 | 6 | 0.50 | 0.51 | 1529 | 1420 | 1.03 |
| 2013/14 | VfB Stuttgart | Bundesliga | AM | 29 | 1685 | 55% | 7 | 12 | 1.01 | 0.78 | 1542 | 1398 | 1.03 |
| 2012/13 | VfB Stuttgart | Bundesliga | AM | 11 | 675 | 22% | 1 | 1 | 0.27 | 0.36 | 1454 | 1464 | 1.11 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019/20 | Dfb Pokal | 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 1 | 27 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Dfb Pokal | 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 2 | 163 | 2 | 2 | — |
| 2017/18 | Dfb Pokal | 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 4 | 261 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2015/16 | Dfb Pokal | VfB Stuttgart | 2 | 156 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2014/15 | Dfb Pokal | VfB Stuttgart | 1 | 28 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2013/14 | Dfb Pokal | VfB Stuttgart | 2 | 105 | 0 | 2 | — |
| 2013/14 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | VfB Stuttgart | 3 | 89 | 0 | 1 | 1431 |
| 2012/13 | Dfb Pokal | VfB Stuttgart | 2 | 151 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2012/13 | Uefa Europa League | VfB Stuttgart | 3 | 72 | 0 | 0 | 1494 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panagiotis Korbos Super League 1 · 2020 | 35 | €200k | €100k | fell |
| Javier Umbides Super League 1 · 2017 | 35 | €300k | €150k | fell |
| Jonas Kamper Superliga · 2017 | 34 | €300k | €200k | fell |
| Lasse Fosgaard Superliga · 2020 | 34 | €250k | €150k | fell |
| Aziz Behich Scottish Premiership · 2023 | 33 | €550k | €300k | fell |
| Frank Hansen Superliga · 2015 | 32 | €300k | €100k | fell |
| Suleiman Omo Super League 1 · 2018 | 33 | €350k | €150k | fell |
| Stéphane Sessègnon Super Lig · 2020 | 36 | €300k | €225k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2023 | Besiktas | Gaziantep FK | Free / loan | €2.8M |
| 16 Feb 2023 | Gaziantep FK | Besiktas | Free / loan | €3.5M |
| 11 Aug 2020 | Mainz | Gaziantep FK | Free / loan | €2.3M |
| 5 Aug 2020 | Gaziantep FK | Mainz | Free / loan | €2.3M |
| 29 Jan 2020 | Mainz | Gaziantep FK | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Stuttgart | Mainz | €3.0M | €2.5M |
| 31 Jan 2013 | Pandurii | Stuttgart | €1.5M | €2.0M |
| 1 Jul 2011 | RCD Espanyol B | Pandurii | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 30 Jun 2011 | Badalona | RCD Espanyol B | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2010 | RCD Espanyol B | Badalona | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2009 | Espanyol U19 | RCD Espanyol B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2007 | FC Ardealul | Espanyol U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2004 | Unknown | FC Ardealul | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.