Alexandru Maxim

36 yrs · Attacking midfielder (also CM, LM) · Romania
Gaziantep FK · Super Lig · Foot: right · Height: 177 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2027
Market value
€300k
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€77k – €240k
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€243k – €652k
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€103k – €292k
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
€4k – €576k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€77k – €240k
Model value (performance-implied)€243k – €652k
Projected value (24 months)€103k – €292k
Dashed line: current market value (€300k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Alexandru Maxim's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-0.7M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.1M-0.3M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.69x the positional average in the league (2698 minutes, league coefficient 0.40). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Bargain Index: not assigned

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

Age above 33 (outside validated pool)

PerformanceAverage45th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable36 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €102k vs market €300k
Expected appreciationVery low-30% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery largeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.4
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €7.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
2698 (88% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.40
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.37
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
45 (Average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.40 (rank 18)
Team strength (Elo)
1167
Opponent strength
1270
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
improving
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€103k – €292k

Trajectory drivers: role change AM -> CM; relative output up 39% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -48% (IQR -52% to -38%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ▲Age 36: resale value typically declines.
  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
35 (MID)
Relative output kept
77%–144%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
69%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Gaziantep FKSuper LigCM33269888%570.400.37127011670.40
2024/25Gaziantep FKSuper LigAM34263581%760.440.48128411980.39
2023/24Gaziantep FKSuper LigAM34267878%390.400.56130412120.45
2022/23Gaziantep FKSuper LigAM21188858%460.480.45128711060.50
2022/23Beşiktaş Jimnastik KulübüSuper LigAM112758%000.000.21132215170.50
2021/22Gaziantep FKSuper LigAM31249673%1470.760.65125612380.42
2020/21Gaziantep FKSuper LigLM38304585%1530.530.36127712520.37
2019/20Gaziantep FKSuper LigLM15129342%720.630.37134612840.45
2019/201.FSV Mainz 05BundesligaCM51134%000.000.20152214711.06
2018/191.FSV Mainz 05BundesligaAM2256518%100.160.22142414881.05
2017/181.FSV Mainz 05BundesligaAM2295831%220.380.43149214441.04
2015/16VfB StuttgartBundesligaAM25104934%160.600.51150713791.02
2014/15VfB StuttgartBundesligaAM26144747%260.500.51152914201.03
2013/14VfB StuttgartBundesligaAM29168555%7121.010.78154213981.03
2012/13VfB StuttgartBundesligaAM1167522%110.270.36145414641.11

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2019/20Dfb Pokal1.FSV Mainz 0512700—
2018/19Dfb Pokal1.FSV Mainz 05216322—
2017/18Dfb Pokal1.FSV Mainz 05426101—
2015/16Dfb PokalVfB Stuttgart215610—
2014/15Dfb PokalVfB Stuttgart12800—
2013/14Dfb PokalVfB Stuttgart210502—
2013/14Uefa Europa League QualifyingVfB Stuttgart389011431
2012/13Dfb PokalVfB Stuttgart215100—
2012/13Uefa Europa LeagueVfB Stuttgart372001494

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Panagiotis Korbos
Super League 1 · 2020
35€200k€100kfell
Javier Umbides
Super League 1 · 2017
35€300k€150kfell
Jonas Kamper
Superliga · 2017
34€300k€200kfell
Lasse Fosgaard
Superliga · 2020
34€250k€150kfell
Aziz Behich
Scottish Premiership · 2023
33€550k€300kfell
Frank Hansen
Superliga · 2015
32€300k€100kfell
Suleiman Omo
Super League 1 · 2018
33€350k€150kfell
Stéphane Sessègnon
Super Lig · 2020
36€300k€225kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
30 Jun 2023BesiktasGaziantep FKFree / loan€2.8M
16 Feb 2023Gaziantep FKBesiktasFree / loan€3.5M
11 Aug 2020MainzGaziantep FKFree / loan€2.3M
5 Aug 2020Gaziantep FKMainzFree / loan€2.3M
29 Jan 2020MainzGaziantep FKFree / loan€2.0M
1 Jul 2017StuttgartMainz€3.0M€2.5M
31 Jan 2013PanduriiStuttgart€1.5M€2.0M
1 Jul 2011RCD Espanyol BPanduriiFree / loanData unavailable
30 Jun 2011BadalonaRCD Espanyol BFree / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2010RCD Espanyol BBadalonaFree / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2009Espanyol U19RCD Espanyol BUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2007FC ArdealulEspanyol U19UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2004UnknownFC ArdealulUnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.