Giannis Pasas
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Giannis Pasas's performance-implied value at EUR 0.1M-0.3M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.0M-0.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.1M-0.1M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.45x the positional average in the league (665 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Below average | 1.3th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 35.7 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €43k vs market €125k |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | +2% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 901 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 665 (28% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.54
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.59
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 1 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.42 (rank 16)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1129
- Opponent strength
- 1233
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €82k – €125k
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -18% (IQR -34% to +0%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Small sample: 665 league minutes last season.
- ▲Age 36: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 19 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 99%–112%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 47%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Athlitiki Enosi Larisas | Super League 1 | LW | 18 | 665 | 28% | 4 | 0 | 0.54 | 0.59 | 1233 | 1129 | 0.43 |
| 2016/17 | Iraklis Thessaloniki | Super League 1 | LW | 26 | 1212 | 45% | 1 | 2 | 0.22 | 0.41 | 1291 | 1226 | 0.44 |
| 2015/16 | Iraklis Thessaloniki | Super League 1 | LW | 22 | 1435 | 53% | 0 | 3 | 0.19 | 0.39 | 1335 | 1233 | 0.46 |
| 2013/14 | Panetolikos Agrinio | Super League 1 | ST | 6 | 110 | 4% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.58 | 1351 | 1292 | 0.52 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Kypello Elladas | Athlitiki Enosi Larisas | 3 | 167 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2016/17 | Kypello Elladas | Iraklis Thessaloniki | 3 | 240 | 2 | 0 | — |
| 2015/16 | Kypello Elladas | Iraklis Thessaloniki | 5 | 280 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2013/14 | Kypello Elladas | Panetolikos Agrinio | 4 | 219 | 1 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Simon Makienok Superliga · 2024 | 34 | €100k | €100k | flat |
| Hélder Barbosa Super League 1 · 2022 | 35 | €200k | €200k | flat |
| Anthony Mounier Super League 1 · 2021 | 34 | €200k | €100k | fell |
| Papiss Cissé Super Lig · 2022 | 37 | €250k | €200k | fell |
| Kjartan Finnbogason Superliga · 2021 | 35 | €200k | €125k | fell |
| Emre Güral Super Lig · 2021 | 32 | €150k | €100k | fell |
| Yonathan Del Valle Super Lig · 2023 | 33 | €150k | €125k | flat |
| Kazenga LuaLua Super League 1 · 2023 | 33 | €200k | €200k | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2024 | Kalamata | AE Larisa | Free / loan | €250k |
| 5 Jul 2022 | Veria NPS | Kalamata | Free / loan | €400k |
| 31 Aug 2019 | AOK Kerkyra | Veria NPS | Free / loan | €250k |
| 24 Jan 2019 | Iraklis | AOK Kerkyra | Free / loan | €350k |
| 8 Aug 2018 | Aris Saloniki | Iraklis | Free / loan | €350k |
| 27 Jul 2017 | Iraklis | Aris Saloniki | Free / loan | €400k |
| 10 Jul 2014 | Panetolikos | Iraklis | Free / loan | €200k |
| 30 Jun 2009 | Akarnanikos | Panetolikos | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2009 | Panetolikos | Akarnanikos | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2008 | Panetolikos U20 | Panetolikos | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.