
Vyacheslav Churko
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Vyacheslav Churko's performance-implied value at EUR 0.1M-0.4M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.0M-0.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.1M-0.2M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.98x the positional average in the league (467 minutes, league coefficient 0.25). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Below average | 6.8th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 33.1 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €111k vs market €200k |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -15% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.25 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1164 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 467 (17% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.19
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.40
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 7 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.25 (rank 30)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1186
- Opponent strength
- 1164
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €98k – €204k
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -45% (IQR -64% to -19%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Small sample: 467 league minutes last season.
- ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ▲Age 33: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 37 (all positions)
- Relative output kept
- 87%–128%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 86%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | TOV FK Metalist 1925 Kharkiv | Premier Liga | AM | 16 | 467 | 17% | 1 | 0 | 0.19 | 0.39 | 1164 | 1186 | 0.25 |
| 2023/24 | Zorya Lugansk | Premier Liga | AM | 18 | 762 | 28% | 0 | 2 | 0.24 | 0.31 | 1251 | 1235 | 0.34 |
| 2022/23 | Zorya Lugansk | Premier Liga | AM | 16 | 1170 | 43% | 2 | 2 | 0.31 | 0.26 | 1277 | 1406 | 0.38 |
| 2020/21 | Kolos Kovalivka | Premier Liga | RW | 11 | 852 | 36% | 3 | 4 | 0.74 | 0.54 | 1279 | 1336 | 0.49 |
| 2019/20 | FK Mariupol | Premier Liga | RW | 18 | 1444 | 73% | 3 | 3 | 0.37 | 0.46 | 1337 | 1267 | 0.54 |
| 2018/19 | FK Mariupol | Premier Liga | LW | 18 | 987 | 50% | 2 | 2 | 0.36 | 0.46 | 1327 | 1310 | 0.57 |
| 2017/18 | FK Mariupol | Premier Liga | RW | 14 | 768 | 39% | 1 | 2 | 0.35 | 0.40 | 1286 | 1296 | 0.62 |
| 2015/16 | Metalist Kharkiv (- 2016) | Premier Liga | RW | 14 | 1004 | 43% | 1 | 2 | 0.27 | 0.35 | 1313 | 1284 | 0.54 |
| 2014/15 | FK Mariupol | Premier Liga | RW | 12 | 998 | 43% | 4 | 0 | 0.36 | 0.50 | 1378 | 1184 | 0.54 |
| 2013/14 | FK Mariupol | Premier Liga | RW | 20 | 1304 | 50% | 4 | 3 | 0.48 | 0.52 | 1399 | 1339 | 0.63 |
| 2012/13 | Goverla Uzhgorod (- 2016) | Premier Liga | AM | 11 | 554 | 21% | 0 | 2 | 0.32 | 0.47 | 1328 | 1248 | 0.70 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Ukrainian Cup | TOV FK Metalist 1925 Kharkiv | 3 | 243 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2023/24 | Ukrainian Cup | Zorya Lugansk | 1 | 45 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Zorya Lugansk | 2 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 1548 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Zorya Lugansk | 2 | 168 | 0 | 1 | 1363 |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | FK Mariupol | 2 | 159 | 0 | 0 | 1479 |
| 2019/20 | Ukrainian Cup | FK Mariupol | 3 | 124 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | FK Mariupol | 4 | 283 | 0 | 1 | 1433 |
| 2017/18 | Ukrainian Cup | FK Mariupol | 1 | 83 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2015/16 | Ukrainian Cup | Metalist Kharkiv (- 2016) | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Theodoros Vasilakakis Super League 1 · 2021 | 33 | €300k | €100k | fell |
| Ivan Bobko Premier Liga · 2023 | 33 | €150k | €150k | flat |
| Giannis Gotsoulias Super League 1 · 2022 | 32 | €200k | €150k | fell |
| Manuel Fernandes Super Lig · 2021 | 35 | €200k | €75k | fell |
| Yasin Pehlivan Super Lig · 2021 | 32 | €175k | €25k | fell |
| Martin Örnskov Superliga · 2020 | 35 | €150k | €150k | flat |
| Blair Alston Scottish Premiership · 2023 | 31 | €325k | €200k | fell |
| Elmar Bjarnason Super League 1 · 2021 | 34 | €100k | €50k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2026 | Metalist 1925 | Without Club | Unknown | €200k |
| 3 Jul 2024 | Zorya Lugansk | Metalist 1925 | Free / loan | €400k |
| 18 Jul 2022 | Kolos Kovalivka | Zorya Lugansk | Free / loan | €400k |
| 30 Jun 2022 | Mezőkövesd | Kolos Kovalivka | Free / loan | €400k |
| 28 Mar 2022 | Kolos Kovalivka | Mezőkövesd | Free / loan | €700k |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Shakhtar D. | Kolos Kovalivka | Free / loan | €800k |
| 30 Jun 2021 | Kolos Kovalivka | Shakhtar D. | Free / loan | €800k |
| 10 Feb 2021 | Shakhtar D. | Kolos Kovalivka | Free / loan | €600k |
| 31 Jul 2020 | FC Mariupol | Shakhtar D. | Free / loan | €550k |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Shakhtar D. | FC Mariupol | Free / loan | €250k |
| 30 Jun 2017 | Frosinone | Shakhtar D. | Free / loan | €250k |
| 2 Aug 2016 | Shakhtar D. | Frosinone | Free / loan | €400k |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Shakhtar II | Shakhtar D. | Unknown | €400k |
| 30 Jun 2016 | Puskás AFC | Shakhtar II | Free / loan | €400k |
| 3 Feb 2016 | Shakhtar II | Puskás AFC | Free / loan | €600k |
| 2 Feb 2016 | Metalist Kharkiv | Shakhtar II | Free / loan | €600k |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Shakhtar II | Metalist Kharkiv | Free / loan | €600k |
| 30 Jun 2015 | Illichivets | Shakhtar II | Free / loan | €600k |
| 1 Jul 2013 | Shakhtar II | Illichivets | Free / loan | €600k |
| 30 Jun 2013 | Goverla II | Shakhtar II | Free / loan | €600k |
| 31 Aug 2012 | Shakhtar II | Goverla II | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Feb 2010 | Shakhtar U17 | Shakhtar II | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2007 | Unknown | Shakhtar U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.