Vyacheslav Churko

33 yrs · Attacking midfielder (also LW, RW) · Ukraine
TOV FK Metalist 1925 Kharkiv · Premier Liga · Foot: left · Height: 182 cm
Risk: Very HighConfidence: LowSample: LowDevelopment: LowContract: Data unavailable
Market value
€200k
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€47k – €228k
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€140k – €397k
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€98k – €204k
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€88k – €351k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€47k – €228k
Model value (performance-implied)€140k – €397k
Projected value (24 months)€98k – €204k
Dashed line: current market value (€200k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Vyacheslav Churko's performance-implied value at EUR 0.1M-0.4M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.0M-0.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.1M-0.2M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.98x the positional average in the league (467 minutes, league coefficient 0.25). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.

Bargain Index: not assigned

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)

PerformanceBelow average6.8th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable33.1 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €111k vs market €200k
Expected appreciationLow-15% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapLargeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.25
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskVery High
Data confidenceLow

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €800k

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1164 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
467 (17% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.19
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.40
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
7 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.25 (rank 30)
Team strength (Elo)
1186
Opponent strength
1164
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
insufficient
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€98k – €204k

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -45% (IQR -64% to -19%).

Risk profile

Overall: Very High

  • ▲Small sample: 467 league minutes last season.
  • ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ▲Age 33: resale value typically declines.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
  • ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
37 (all positions)
Relative output kept
87%–128%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
86%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26TOV FK Metalist 1925 KharkivPremier LigaAM1646717%100.190.39116411860.25
2023/24Zorya LuganskPremier LigaAM1876228%020.240.31125112350.34
2022/23Zorya LuganskPremier LigaAM16117043%220.310.26127714060.38
2020/21Kolos KovalivkaPremier LigaRW1185236%340.740.54127913360.49
2019/20FK MariupolPremier LigaRW18144473%330.370.46133712670.54
2018/19FK MariupolPremier LigaLW1898750%220.360.46132713100.57
2017/18FK MariupolPremier LigaRW1476839%120.350.40128612960.62
2015/16Metalist Kharkiv (- 2016)Premier LigaRW14100443%120.270.35131312840.54
2014/15FK MariupolPremier LigaRW1299843%400.360.50137811840.54
2013/14FK MariupolPremier LigaRW20130450%430.480.52139913390.63
2012/13Goverla Uzhgorod (- 2016)Premier LigaAM1155421%020.320.47132812480.70

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Ukrainian CupTOV FK Metalist 1925 Kharkiv324301—
2023/24Ukrainian CupZorya Lugansk14500—
2023/24Uefa Europa League QualifyingZorya Lugansk223001548
2022/23Uefa Conference League QualifyingZorya Lugansk2168011363
2019/20Uefa Europa League QualifyingFK Mariupol2159001479
2019/20Ukrainian CupFK Mariupol312410—
2018/19Uefa Europa League QualifyingFK Mariupol4283011433
2017/18Ukrainian CupFK Mariupol18301—
2015/16Ukrainian CupMetalist Kharkiv (- 2016)19000—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Theodoros Vasilakakis
Super League 1 · 2021
33€300k€100kfell
Ivan Bobko
Premier Liga · 2023
33€150k€150kflat
Giannis Gotsoulias
Super League 1 · 2022
32€200k€150kfell
Manuel Fernandes
Super Lig · 2021
35€200k€75kfell
Yasin Pehlivan
Super Lig · 2021
32€175k€25kfell
Martin Örnskov
Superliga · 2020
35€150k€150kflat
Blair Alston
Scottish Premiership · 2023
31€325k€200kfell
Elmar Bjarnason
Super League 1 · 2021
34€100k€50kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2026Metalist 1925Without ClubUnknown€200k
3 Jul 2024Zorya LuganskMetalist 1925Free / loan€400k
18 Jul 2022Kolos KovalivkaZorya LuganskFree / loan€400k
30 Jun 2022MezőkövesdKolos KovalivkaFree / loan€400k
28 Mar 2022Kolos KovalivkaMezőkövesdFree / loan€700k
1 Jul 2021Shakhtar D.Kolos KovalivkaFree / loan€800k
30 Jun 2021Kolos KovalivkaShakhtar D.Free / loan€800k
10 Feb 2021Shakhtar D.Kolos KovalivkaFree / loan€600k
31 Jul 2020FC MariupolShakhtar D.Free / loan€550k
1 Jul 2017Shakhtar D.FC MariupolFree / loan€250k
30 Jun 2017FrosinoneShakhtar D.Free / loan€250k
2 Aug 2016Shakhtar D.FrosinoneFree / loan€400k
1 Jul 2016Shakhtar IIShakhtar D.Unknown€400k
30 Jun 2016Puskás AFCShakhtar IIFree / loan€400k
3 Feb 2016Shakhtar IIPuskás AFCFree / loan€600k
2 Feb 2016Metalist KharkivShakhtar IIFree / loan€600k
1 Jul 2015Shakhtar IIMetalist KharkivFree / loan€600k
30 Jun 2015IllichivetsShakhtar IIFree / loan€600k
1 Jul 2013Shakhtar IIIllichivetsFree / loan€600k
30 Jun 2013Goverla IIShakhtar IIFree / loan€600k
31 Aug 2012Shakhtar IIGoverla IIFree / loanData unavailable
1 Feb 2010Shakhtar U17Shakhtar IIUnknownData unavailable
1 Jan 2007UnknownShakhtar U17UnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.