Bertrand Traoré

31 yrs · Right winger (also ST) · Burkina Faso
Sunderland AFC · Premier League · Foot: left · Height: 181 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: LowSample: LowDevelopment: LowContract: Data unavailable
No index
CompareCheaper alternative
Market value
€4.0M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€1.2M – €5.3M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€3.1M – €9.1M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€1.2M – €3.1M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€2.2M – €7.9M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€1.2M – €5.3M
Model value (performance-implied)€3.1M – €9.1M
Projected value (24 months)€1.2M – €3.1M
Dashed line: current market value (€4.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Bertrand Traoré's performance-implied value at EUR 3.1M-9.1M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.2M-5.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.2M-3.1M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.16x the positional average in the league (702 minutes, league coefficient 1.30). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.

Bargain Index: not assigned

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)

PerformanceHigh79.7th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable30.8 years
Acquisition costFavorableest. €2.9M vs market €4.0M
Expected appreciationVery low-54% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery largeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationBig-five leagueleague coefficient 1.3
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceLow

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €20.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 901 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
702 (21% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.13
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.48
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
80 (High)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
1.30 (rank 1)
Team strength (Elo)
1488
Opponent strength
1636
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
declining
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€1.2M – €3.1M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 36 pts; changed club; league level up (+267 Elo); relative output up 52% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -59% (IQR -60% to -15%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ▲Small sample: 702 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠Age 31: resale value typically declines.
  • ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
  • ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
  • ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Sunderland AFCPremier LeagueRW1263919%100.140.48163614961.30
2025/26Ajax AmsterdamEredivisieRW1632%000.000.20119814050.43
2024/25Ajax AmsterdamEredivisieRW32172556%650.570.33128415050.50
2023/24Villarreal CFLaligaRW1156917%100.160.36151815771.00
2023/24Aston VillaPremier LeagueRW2100%000.000.26143815861.14
2022/23Basaksehir FKSuper LigRW1268721%210.390.31127113950.50
2022/23Aston VillaPremier LeagueRW82267%200.800.43148516251.23
2021/22Aston VillaPremier LeagueRW92136%000.000.34156115201.17
2020/21Aston VillaPremier LeagueRW36233568%770.540.59157315171.19
2019/20Olympique LyonLigue 1RW23125150%130.290.28140315660.82
2018/19Olympique LyonLigue 1RW34212462%720.380.27145416040.82
2017/18Olympique LyonLigue 1RW31229367%1340.670.38143416450.85
2016/17Ajax AmsterdamEredivisieRW24179759%920.550.30133616270.54
2015/16Chelsea FCPremier LeagueST1037311%210.720.47154016251.08
2014/15Vitesse ArnhemEredivisieST29215670%1350.750.55132614310.52
2013/14Vitesse ArnhemEredivisieST1360820%300.440.38133114110.59

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Africa Cup Of NationsBurkina Faso318800—
2024/25Uefa Europa LeagueAjax Amsterdam10631321522
2024/25Uefa Europa League QualifyingAjax Amsterdam5209111420
2024/25Knvb BekerAjax Amsterdam215600—
2023/24Uefa Conference League QualifyingAston Villa121011238
2019/20Uefa Champions LeagueOlympique Lyon5229101586
2018/19Uefa Champions LeagueOlympique Lyon8321111688
2017/18Uefa Europa LeagueOlympique Lyon9541411544
2016/17Uefa Europa LeagueAjax Amsterdam131106441556
2016/17Uefa Champions League QualifyingAjax Amsterdam2172001542
2015/16Fa CupChelsea FC35720—
2015/16Uefa Champions LeagueChelsea FC243001689
2014/15Knvb BekerVitesse Arnhem324630—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Joselu
Premier League · 2019
29€4.0M€8.0Mrose
Christian Benteke
Premier League · 2022
32€6.0M€2.5Mfell
Sam Vokes
Premier League · 2018
29€6.0M€2.4Mfell
Manucho
Laliga · 2014
31€1.5M€1.2Mfell
Junior Stanislas
Premier League · 2019
30€4.5M€1.8Mfell
Christian Atsu
Premier League · 2020
28€4.8M€700kfell
Cristian Tello
Laliga · 2020
29€4.8M€5.0Mflat
Alexander Szymanowski
Laliga · 2018
30€2.0M€800kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2026SunderlandWithout ClubUnknown€4.0M
1 Sept 2025AjaxSunderland€2.9M€8.0M
15 Jul 2024VillarrealAjaxFree / loan€9.0M
1 Feb 2024Aston VillaVillarrealFree / loan€10.0M
31 Jan 2023BasaksehirAston VillaFree / loan€14.0M
22 Aug 2022Aston VillaBasaksehirFree / loan€16.0M
19 Sept 2020LyonAston Villa€18.4M€9.5M
1 Jul 2017ChelseaLyon€10.0M€8.0M
30 Jun 2017AjaxChelseaFree / loan€8.0M
12 Aug 2016ChelseaAjaxFree / loan€4.0M
30 Jun 2015VitesseChelseaFree / loan€2.5M
2 Jan 2014ChelseaVitesseFree / loanData unavailable
1 Jan 2014Chelsea U21ChelseaUnknownData unavailable
31 Oct 2013AJ Auxerre U19Chelsea U21UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2012AJ Auxerre U17AJ Auxerre U19UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2010AJ Auxerre Yth.AJ Auxerre U17UnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.