
Lindsay Rose
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Lindsay Rose's performance-implied value at EUR 0.1M-0.3M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.0M-0.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.0M-0.1M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Market value below EUR 250k (outside validated pool)
| Performance | Below average | 21.1th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 34.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €82k vs market €125k |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -5% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 988 (42% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.05
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 21 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.42 (rank 16)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1255
- Opponent strength
- 1272
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €48k – €123k
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -29% (IQR -50% to -19%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Age 34: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Limited sample: 988 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 25 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 55%–230%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 68%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Aris Thessalonikis | Super League 1 | CB | 14 | 988 | 42% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1272 | 1255 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | Aris Thessalonikis | Super League 1 | CB | 7 | 278 | 12% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1241 | 1288 | 0.35 |
| 2023/24 | Aris Thessalonikis | Super League 1 | CB | 10 | 684 | 29% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1232 | 1348 | 0.42 |
| 2020/21 | Aris Thessalonikis | Super League 1 | CB | 24 | 2105 | 90% | 2 | 0 | 0.09 | 0.07 | 1255 | 1343 | 0.39 |
| 2019/20 | Aris Thessalonikis | Super League 1 | CB | 25 | 2250 | 96% | 3 | 3 | 0.24 | 0.20 | 1309 | 1293 | 0.46 |
| 2018/19 | Aris Thessalonikis | Super League 1 | CB | 13 | 1170 | 43% | 2 | 0 | 0.15 | 0.17 | 1316 | 1272 | 0.43 |
| 2016/17 | SC Bastia | Ligue 1 | CB | 9 | 688 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1395 | 1365 | 0.88 |
| 2016/17 | FC Lorient | Ligue 1 | CB | 3 | 270 | 8% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 1407 | 1362 | 0.88 |
| 2015/16 | FC Lorient | Ligue 1 | CB | 10 | 900 | 26% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 1425 | 1354 | 0.78 |
| 2015/16 | Olympique Lyon | Ligue 1 | CB | 1 | 90 | 3% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 1450 | 1533 | 0.78 |
| 2014/15 | Olympique Lyon | Ligue 1 | CB | 15 | 1210 | 35% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1451 | 1581 | 0.80 |
| 2013/14 | Valenciennes FC | Ligue 1 | CB | 9 | 765 | 22% | 0 | 1 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 1515 | 1280 | 0.79 |
| 2012/13 | Valenciennes FC | Ligue 1 | CB | 15 | 1129 | 33% | 1 | 0 | 0.08 | 0.09 | 1473 | 1429 | 0.88 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Kypello Elladas | Aris Thessalonikis | 6 | 516 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Kypello Elladas | Aris Thessalonikis | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Kypello Elladas | Aris Thessalonikis | 3 | 102 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Legia Warszawa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1391 |
| 2020/21 | Kypello Elladas | Aris Thessalonikis | 4 | 340 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Aris Thessalonikis | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1243 |
| 2019/20 | Kypello Elladas | Aris Thessalonikis | 6 | 568 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Aris Thessalonikis | 4 | 390 | 0 | 0 | 1456 |
| 2014/15 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Olympique Lyon | 2 | 131 | 0 | 0 | 1446 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Kristensen Superliga · 2020 | 33 | €200k | €200k | flat |
| Vitaliy Pavlov Premier Liga · 2023 | 35 | €150k | €150k | flat |
| Stelios Malezas Super League 1 · 2020 | 35 | €200k | €150k | fell |
| Alkis Dimitris Super League 1 · 2014 | 34 | €150k | €100k | fell |
| Vadym Sapay Premier Liga · 2019 | 33 | €200k | €100k | fell |
| Jimmy Hempte Jupiler Pro League · 2014 | 32 | €300k | €100k | fell |
| Papa Gueye Premier Liga · 2020 | 36 | €100k | €50k | fell |
| Hasan Ali Kaldırım Super Lig · 2024 | 35 | €100k | €75k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Jan 2024 | Legia Warszawa | Aris Saloniki | Free / loan | €200k |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Aris Saloniki | Legia Warszawa | €600k | €1.0M |
| 1 Jul 2019 | FC Lorient | Aris Saloniki | €170k | €700k |
| 30 Jun 2019 | Aris Saloniki | FC Lorient | Free / loan | €700k |
| 24 Jan 2019 | FC Lorient | Aris Saloniki | Free / loan | €800k |
| 30 Jun 2017 | SC Bastia | FC Lorient | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 11 Jan 2017 | FC Lorient | SC Bastia | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Lyon | FC Lorient | €1.5M | €2.5M |
| 30 Jun 2016 | FC Lorient | Lyon | Free / loan | €2.5M |
| 28 Jan 2016 | Lyon | FC Lorient | Free / loan | €3.5M |
| 17 Jul 2014 | Valenciennes FC | Lyon | €1.5M | €3.0M |
| 15 Jan 2013 | Stade Lavallois | Valenciennes FC | €1.0M | €1.5M |
| 1 Jul 2010 | Stade Laval B | Stade Lavallois | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.