Lindsay Rose

34 yrs · Centre-back · Mauritius
Aris Thessalonikis · Super League 1 · Foot: right · Height: 184 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: Data unavailable
Market value
€125k
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€28k – €259k
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€110k – €251k
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€48k – €123k
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€148k – €224k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€28k – €259k
Model value (performance-implied)€110k – €251k
Projected value (24 months)€48k – €123k
Dashed line: current market value (€125k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Lindsay Rose's performance-implied value at EUR 0.1M-0.3M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.0M-0.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.0M-0.1M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.

Bargain Index: not assigned

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

Market value below EUR 250k (outside validated pool)

PerformanceBelow average21.1th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable34.4 years
Acquisition costFavorableest. €82k vs market €125k
Expected appreciationNeutral-5% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery largeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.43
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €3.5M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
988 (42% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.00
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.05
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
21 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.42 (rank 16)
Team strength (Elo)
1255
Opponent strength
1272
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
insufficient
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€48k – €123k

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -29% (IQR -50% to -19%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ▲Age 34: resale value typically declines.
  • ⚠Limited sample: 988 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
25 (DEF)
Relative output kept
55%–230%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
68%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Aris ThessalonikisSuper League 1CB1498842%000.000.05127212550.43
2024/25Aris ThessalonikisSuper League 1CB727812%000.000.05124112880.35
2023/24Aris ThessalonikisSuper League 1CB1068429%000.000.03123213480.42
2020/21Aris ThessalonikisSuper League 1CB24210590%200.090.07125513430.39
2019/20Aris ThessalonikisSuper League 1CB25225096%330.240.20130912930.46
2018/19Aris ThessalonikisSuper League 1CB13117043%200.150.17131612720.43
2016/17SC BastiaLigue 1CB968820%000.000.05139513650.88
2016/17FC LorientLigue 1CB32708%000.000.06140713620.88
2015/16FC LorientLigue 1CB1090026%000.000.04142513540.78
2015/16Olympique LyonLigue 1CB1903%000.000.06145015330.78
2014/15Olympique LyonLigue 1CB15121035%000.000.03145115810.80
2013/14Valenciennes FCLigue 1CB976522%010.120.12151512800.79
2012/13Valenciennes FCLigue 1CB15112933%100.080.09147314290.88

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Kypello ElladasAris Thessalonikis651610—
2024/25Kypello ElladasAris Thessalonikis19000—
2023/24Kypello ElladasAris Thessalonikis310200—
2023/24Uefa Conference League QualifyingLegia Warszawa11001391
2020/21Kypello ElladasAris Thessalonikis434000—
2020/21Uefa Europa League QualifyingAris Thessalonikis190001243
2019/20Kypello ElladasAris Thessalonikis656800—
2019/20Uefa Europa League QualifyingAris Thessalonikis4390001456
2014/15Uefa Europa League QualifyingOlympique Lyon2131001446

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Patrick Kristensen
Superliga · 2020
33€200k€200kflat
Vitaliy Pavlov
Premier Liga · 2023
35€150k€150kflat
Stelios Malezas
Super League 1 · 2020
35€200k€150kfell
Alkis Dimitris
Super League 1 · 2014
34€150k€100kfell
Vadym Sapay
Premier Liga · 2019
33€200k€100kfell
Jimmy Hempte
Jupiler Pro League · 2014
32€300k€100kfell
Papa Gueye
Premier Liga · 2020
36€100k€50kfell
Hasan Ali Kaldırım
Super Lig · 2024
35€100k€75kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
4 Jan 2024Legia WarszawaAris SalonikiFree / loan€200k
1 Jul 2021Aris SalonikiLegia Warszawa€600k€1.0M
1 Jul 2019FC LorientAris Saloniki€170k€700k
30 Jun 2019Aris SalonikiFC LorientFree / loan€700k
24 Jan 2019FC LorientAris SalonikiFree / loan€800k
30 Jun 2017SC BastiaFC LorientFree / loan€1.5M
11 Jan 2017FC LorientSC BastiaFree / loan€2.0M
1 Jul 2016LyonFC Lorient€1.5M€2.5M
30 Jun 2016FC LorientLyonFree / loan€2.5M
28 Jan 2016LyonFC LorientFree / loan€3.5M
17 Jul 2014Valenciennes FCLyon€1.5M€3.0M
15 Jan 2013Stade LavalloisValenciennes FC€1.0M€1.5M
1 Jul 2010Stade Laval BStade LavalloisUnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.