
Charalampos Lykogiannis
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Charalampos Lykogiannis's performance-implied value at EUR 0.9M-3.7M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.4M-1.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.4M-1.0M. Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Above average | 63.3th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 32.7 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €760k vs market €1.2M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -52% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.93 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1269 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 627 (18% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.14
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.14
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 63 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.93 (rank 4)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1523
- Opponent strength
- 1533
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €360k – €972k
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -66% (IQR -73% to -31%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Small sample: 627 league minutes last season.
- ▲Age 33: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Bologna Football Club 1909 | Serie A | LB | 10 | 627 | 18% | 0 | 1 | 0.14 | 0.14 | 1533 | 1523 | 0.93 |
| 2024/25 | Bologna Football Club 1909 | Serie A | LB | 17 | 1049 | 31% | 0 | 4 | 0.34 | 0.17 | 1483 | 1559 | 0.99 |
| 2023/24 | Bologna Football Club 1909 | Serie A | LB | 22 | 899 | 26% | 2 | 1 | 0.30 | 0.21 | 1474 | 1579 | 0.98 |
| 2022/23 | Bologna Football Club 1909 | Serie A | LB | 21 | 1106 | 32% | 2 | 0 | 0.16 | 0.18 | 1468 | 1482 | 0.94 |
| 2021/22 | Cagliari Calcio | Serie A | LB | 28 | 1821 | 53% | 1 | 0 | 0.05 | 0.12 | 1504 | 1310 | 0.89 |
| 2020/21 | Cagliari Calcio | Serie A | LB | 31 | 2433 | 71% | 4 | 2 | 0.22 | 0.21 | 1463 | 1373 | 0.90 |
| 2019/20 | Cagliari Calcio | Serie A | LB | 20 | 1339 | 39% | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | 0.10 | 1451 | 1368 | 0.82 |
| 2018/19 | Cagliari Calcio | Serie A | LB | 11 | 827 | 24% | 0 | 1 | 0.11 | 0.18 | 1455 | 1310 | 0.78 |
| 2017/18 | Cagliari Calcio | Serie A | LB | 11 | 685 | 20% | 0 | 2 | 0.26 | 0.29 | 1526 | 1323 | 0.86 |
| 2014/15 | GS Ergotelis | Super League 1 | LB | 22 | 1919 | 63% | 1 | 1 | 0.09 | 0.11 | 1310 | 1192 | 0.44 |
| 2013/14 | APO Levadiakos Football Club | Super League 1 | LB | 22 | 1703 | 56% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1319 | 1259 | 0.52 |
| 2012/13 | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | Super League 1 | LB | 4 | 205 | 8% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 1292 | 1578 | 0.57 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League | Bologna Football Club 1909 | 7 | 375 | 0 | 0 | 1495 |
| 2025/26 | Italy Cup | Bologna Football Club 1909 | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League | Bologna Football Club 1909 | 5 | 371 | 0 | 1 | 1600 |
| 2024/25 | Italy Cup | Bologna Football Club 1909 | 3 | 270 | 0 | 2 | — |
| 2023/24 | Italy Cup | Bologna Football Club 1909 | 3 | 148 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Italy Cup | Bologna Football Club 1909 | 3 | 270 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Italy Cup | Cagliari Calcio | 2 | 93 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Italy Cup | Cagliari Calcio | 2 | 27 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Italy Cup | Cagliari Calcio | 3 | 270 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Italy Cup | Cagliari Calcio | 1 | 90 | 0 | 2 | — |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Sportklub Puntigamer Sturm Graz | 4 | 360 | 0 | 0 | 1413 |
| 2014/15 | Kypello Elladas | GS Ergotelis | 1 | 45 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2013/14 | Kypello Elladas | APO Levadiakos Football Club | 1 | 45 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2012/13 | Kypello Elladas | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2012/13 | Uefa Europa League | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | 1 | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1501 |
| 2012/13 | Uefa Champions League | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1423 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grétar Steinsson Super Lig · 2013 | 31 | €1.2M | €1.2M | flat |
| Manuel Gulde Bundesliga · 2023 | 32 | €1.5M | €400k | fell |
| George McCartney Premier League · 2013 | 32 | €1.5M | €1.0M | fell |
| Ángel López Laliga · 2013 | 32 | €800k | €300k | fell |
| Edson Braafheid Serie A · 2015 | 32 | €1.0M | €250k | fell |
| Giandomenico Mesto Serie A · 2013 | 31 | €1.9M | €500k | fell |
| François Clerc Ligue 1 · 2016 | 33 | €1.0M | €300k | fell |
| Diego Lugano Laliga · 2013 | 33 | €1.2M | €900k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2026 | Bologna | Without Club | Unknown | €1.2M |
| 1 Jul 2022 | Cagliari | Bologna | Free / loan | €2.2M |
| 22 Jan 2018 | Sturm Graz | Cagliari | €800k | €2.0M |
| 16 Jul 2015 | Olympiacos | Sturm Graz | Free / loan | €600k |
| 30 Jun 2015 | Ergotelis | Olympiacos | Free / loan | €600k |
| 8 Aug 2014 | Olympiacos | Ergotelis | Free / loan | €500k |
| 30 Jun 2014 | Levadiakos | Olympiacos | Free / loan | €500k |
| 23 Aug 2013 | Olympiacos | Levadiakos | Free / loan | €400k |
| 1 Jul 2011 | Olympiacos U20 | Olympiacos | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.