Charalampos Lykogiannis

32 yrs · Left-back · Greece
Bologna Football Club 1909 · Serie A · Foot: left · Height: 191 cm
Risk: Very HighConfidence: LowSample: LowDevelopment: LowContract: Data unavailable
Market value
€1.2M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€352k – €1.4M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€886k – €3.7M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€360k – €972k
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€522k – €3.3M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€352k – €1.4M
Model value (performance-implied)€886k – €3.7M
Projected value (24 months)€360k – €972k
Dashed line: current market value (€1.2M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Charalampos Lykogiannis's performance-implied value at EUR 0.9M-3.7M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.4M-1.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.4M-1.0M. Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.

Bargain Index: not assigned

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)

PerformanceAbove average63.3th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable32.7 years
Acquisition costFavorableest. €760k vs market €1.2M
Expected appreciationVery low-52% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapLargeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationBig-five leagueleague coefficient 0.93
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskVery High
Data confidenceLow

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €2.5M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1269 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
627 (18% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.14
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.14
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
63 (Above average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.93 (rank 4)
Team strength (Elo)
1523
Opponent strength
1533
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
declining
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€360k – €972k

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -66% (IQR -73% to -31%).

Risk profile

Overall: Very High

  • ▲Small sample: 627 league minutes last season.
  • ▲Age 33: resale value typically declines.
  • ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
  • ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
  • ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Bologna Football Club 1909Serie ALB1062718%010.140.14153315230.93
2024/25Bologna Football Club 1909Serie ALB17104931%040.340.17148315590.99
2023/24Bologna Football Club 1909Serie ALB2289926%210.300.21147415790.98
2022/23Bologna Football Club 1909Serie ALB21110632%200.160.18146814820.94
2021/22Cagliari CalcioSerie ALB28182153%100.050.12150413100.89
2020/21Cagliari CalcioSerie ALB31243371%420.220.21146313730.90
2019/20Cagliari CalcioSerie ALB20133939%010.070.10145113680.82
2018/19Cagliari CalcioSerie ALB1182724%010.110.18145513100.78
2017/18Cagliari CalcioSerie ALB1168520%020.260.29152613230.86
2014/15GS ErgotelisSuper League 1LB22191963%110.090.11131011920.44
2013/14APO Levadiakos Football ClubSuper League 1LB22170356%000.000.05131912590.52
2012/13Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon PeiraiosSuper League 1LB42058%000.000.06129215780.57

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Uefa Europa LeagueBologna Football Club 19097375001495
2025/26Italy CupBologna Football Club 190919000—
2024/25Uefa Champions LeagueBologna Football Club 19095371011600
2024/25Italy CupBologna Football Club 1909327002—
2023/24Italy CupBologna Football Club 1909314800—
2022/23Italy CupBologna Football Club 1909327000—
2021/22Italy CupCagliari Calcio29300—
2020/21Italy CupCagliari Calcio22700—
2019/20Italy CupCagliari Calcio327000—
2018/19Italy CupCagliari Calcio19002—
2017/18Uefa Europa League QualifyingSportklub Puntigamer Sturm Graz4360001413
2014/15Kypello ElladasGS Ergotelis14500—
2013/14Kypello ElladasAPO Levadiakos Football Club14500—
2012/13Kypello ElladasOlympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios218000—
2012/13Uefa Europa LeagueOlympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios145001501
2012/13Uefa Champions LeagueOlympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios23001423

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Grétar Steinsson
Super Lig · 2013
31€1.2M€1.2Mflat
Manuel Gulde
Bundesliga · 2023
32€1.5M€400kfell
George McCartney
Premier League · 2013
32€1.5M€1.0Mfell
Ángel López
Laliga · 2013
32€800k€300kfell
Edson Braafheid
Serie A · 2015
32€1.0M€250kfell
Giandomenico Mesto
Serie A · 2013
31€1.9M€500kfell
François Clerc
Ligue 1 · 2016
33€1.0M€300kfell
Diego Lugano
Laliga · 2013
33€1.2M€900kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2026BolognaWithout ClubUnknown€1.2M
1 Jul 2022CagliariBolognaFree / loan€2.2M
22 Jan 2018Sturm GrazCagliari€800k€2.0M
16 Jul 2015OlympiacosSturm GrazFree / loan€600k
30 Jun 2015ErgotelisOlympiacosFree / loan€600k
8 Aug 2014OlympiacosErgotelisFree / loan€500k
30 Jun 2014LevadiakosOlympiacosFree / loan€500k
23 Aug 2013OlympiacosLevadiakosFree / loan€400k
1 Jul 2011Olympiacos U20OlympiacosUnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.