Hendrik Van Crombrugge
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Hendrik Van Crombrugge's performance-implied value at EUR 0.7M-2.6M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.3M-0.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.2M-0.6M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Age above 33 (outside validated pool)
| Performance | Above average | 56.6th pct among GK peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 33.2 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €372k vs market €900k |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -61% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.65 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 284 evaluated GK players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1080 (40% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.00
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 57 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.65 (rank 6)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1471
- Opponent strength
- 1364
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €222k – €616k
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 23 pts; team strength down (-64 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -74% (IQR -79% to -66%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Age 33: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Limited sample: 1080 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 214 (all positions)
- Relative output kept
- 68%–140%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 69%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | KRC Genk | Jupiler Pro League | GK | 12 | 1080 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1364 | 1471 | 0.65 |
| 2024/25 | KRC Genk | Jupiler Pro League | GK | 19 | 1710 | 63% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1392 | 1535 | 0.63 |
| 2022/23 | RSC Anderlecht | Jupiler Pro League | GK | 17 | 1503 | 49% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1298 | 1432 | 0.58 |
| 2021/22 | RSC Anderlecht | Jupiler Pro League | GK | 34 | 3060 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1337 | 1459 | 0.49 |
| 2020/21 | RSC Anderlecht | Jupiler Pro League | GK | 12 | 1035 | 34% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1319 | 1457 | 0.55 |
| 2019/20 | RSC Anderlecht | Jupiler Pro League | GK | 28 | 2520 | 97% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1377 | 1443 | 0.63 |
| 2019/20 | KAS Eupen | Jupiler Pro League | GK | 1 | 90 | 3% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1385 | 1247 | 0.63 |
| 2018/19 | KAS Eupen | Jupiler Pro League | GK | 30 | 2700 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1369 | 1253 | 0.65 |
| 2017/18 | KAS Eupen | Jupiler Pro League | GK | 29 | 2565 | 95% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1371 | 1247 | 0.63 |
| 2016/17 | KAS Eupen | Jupiler Pro League | GK | 27 | 2379 | 88% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1328 | 1231 | 0.62 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League | KRC Genk | 6 | 540 | 0 | 0 | 1493 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | RSC Anderlecht | 4 | 390 | 0 | 0 | 1465 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | RSC Anderlecht | 4 | 360 | 0 | 0 | 1351 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hakan Arikan Super Lig · 2015 | 33 | €1.0M | €250k | fell |
| Gino Coutinho Eredivisie · 2016 | 34 | €600k | €200k | fell |
| Frank Boeckx Jupiler Pro League · 2018 | 32 | €700k | €250k | fell |
| Onur Kivrak Super Lig · 2019 | 31 | €1.5M | €1.5M | flat |
| Stanislav Kritsyuk Premier Liga · 2022 | 32 | €1.5M | €400k | fell |
| Saso Fornezzi Super Lig · 2017 | 35 | €400k | €50k | fell |
| Milan Lukac Super Lig · 2017 | 32 | €600k | €150k | fell |
| Soslan Dzhanaev Premier Liga · 2022 | 35 | €800k | €100k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul 2023 | RSC Anderlecht | Genk | €1.3M | €2.5M |
| 1 Aug 2019 | KAS Eupen | RSC Anderlecht | €2.3M | €2.5M |
| 1 Jul 2013 | Without Club | KAS Eupen | Unknown | €100k |
| 31 Jan 2013 | Sint-Truiden | Without Club | Unknown | €100k |
| 1 Jul 2011 | Standard U19 | Sint-Truiden | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2010 | Standard Yth | Standard U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2008 | STVV Youth | Standard Yth | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.