Tomané
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Tomané's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-0.7M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.0M-0.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.1M-0.1M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.93x the positional average in the league (2025 minutes, league coefficient 0.58). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Market value below EUR 250k (outside validated pool)
| Performance | Below average | 25.9th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 33.7 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €96k vs market €150k |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -16% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.58 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2025 (66% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.22
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.47
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 26 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.58 (rank 9)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1182
- Opponent strength
- 1316
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €72k – €149k
Trajectory drivers: changed club.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -35% (IQR -64% to -21%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Age 34: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.58 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 58 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 71%–130%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 66%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Avs Futebol | Liga Portugal | ST | 29 | 2025 | 66% | 4 | 1 | 0.22 | 0.47 | 1316 | 1182 | 0.58 |
| 2024/25 | SC Farense | Liga Portugal | ST | 24 | 1660 | 54% | 3 | 0 | 0.16 | 0.39 | 1351 | 1184 | 0.51 |
| 2018/19 | CD Tondela | Liga Portugal | ST | 31 | 2717 | 89% | 12 | 6 | 0.60 | 0.67 | 1373 | 1299 | 0.65 |
| 2017/18 | CD Tondela | Liga Portugal | ST | 32 | 2685 | 88% | 9 | 7 | 0.54 | 0.66 | 1359 | 1283 | 0.64 |
| 2016/17 | FC Arouca | Liga Portugal | ST | 17 | 1383 | 45% | 3 | 2 | 0.33 | 0.51 | 1352 | 1223 | 0.58 |
| 2016/17 | Panetolikos Agrinio | Super League 1 | ST | 11 | 883 | 33% | 1 | 1 | 0.20 | 0.43 | 1288 | 1194 | 0.44 |
| 2015/16 | Vitória Guimarães SC | Liga Portugal | ST | 16 | 1032 | 34% | 1 | 3 | 0.35 | 0.44 | 1388 | 1311 | 0.58 |
| 2014/15 | Vitória Guimarães SC | Liga Portugal | ST | 32 | 2501 | 82% | 4 | 11 | 0.54 | 0.57 | 1397 | 1390 | 0.68 |
| 2013/14 | Vitória Guimarães SC | Liga Portugal | ST | 21 | 1438 | 53% | 4 | 4 | 0.50 | 0.57 | 1421 | 1323 | 0.74 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016/17 | Kypello Elladas | Panetolikos Agrinio | 2 | 107 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2015/16 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Vitória Guimarães SC | 2 | 121 | 1 | 0 | 1377 |
| 2013/14 | Uefa Europa League | Vitória Guimarães SC | 4 | 186 | 1 | 0 | 1470 |
| 2013/14 | Supercup Candido De Oliveira | Vitória Guimarães SC | 1 | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1759 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilhan Parlak Super Lig · 2020 | 33 | €250k | €75k | fell |
| Anton Shynder Premier Liga · 2021 | 34 | €100k | €100k | flat |
| Marko Markovski Super League 1 · 2018 | 32 | €300k | €200k | fell |
| Robert Mühren Eredivisie · 2023 | 34 | €400k | €250k | fell |
| Artem Sitalo Premier Liga · 2022 | 33 | €200k | €150k | fell |
| Edinho Liga Portugal · 2017 | 35 | €300k | €100k | fell |
| Colin Nish Scottish Premiership · 2013 | 32 | €300k | €275k | flat |
| Michiel Kramer Eredivisie · 2024 | 36 | €275k | €100k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug 2025 | Farense | Avs FS | Free / loan | €200k |
| 17 Jul 2024 | APOEL Nicosia | Farense | Free / loan | €200k |
| 1 Jul 2023 | Samsunspor | APOEL Nicosia | Free / loan | €275k |
| 17 Sept 2020 | Red Star | Samsunspor | €600k | €1.2M |
| 2 Jul 2019 | Tondela | Red Star | €750k | €2.0M |
| 2 Aug 2017 | Arouca | Tondela | €100k | €600k |
| 1 Jan 2017 | Panetolikos | Arouca | Free / loan | €500k |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Vit. Guimarães | Panetolikos | Free / loan | €500k |
| 30 Jun 2016 | MSV Duisburg | Vit. Guimarães | Free / loan | €700k |
| 27 Jan 2016 | Vit. Guimarães | MSV Duisburg | Free / loan | €2.5M |
| 1 Jul 2013 | Guimarães B | Vit. Guimarães | Unknown | €400k |
| 30 Jun 2012 | Limianos | Guimarães B | Free / loan | €100k |
| 1 Jul 2011 | Guimarães B | Limianos | Free / loan | €100k |
| 1 Aug 2010 | Vitória SC U19 | Guimarães B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2009 | Vitória SC U17 | Vitória SC U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2007 | Vitória SC U15 | Vitória SC U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2006 | Boavista U15 | Vitória SC U15 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2005 | Boavista CJ | Boavista U15 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.