Kyrylo Kovalets

The model rates Kyrylo Kovalets's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-0.3M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.0M-0.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.1M-0.2M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.12x the positional average in the league (498 minutes, league coefficient 0.25). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.

Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Minutes

498 (18% of available)

Goals + assists / 90

0.18

Context-adjusted G+A / 90

0.46

xG, xA, progression

Data unavailable

Defensive actions

Data unavailable

Performance percentile

10 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

League strength

0.25 (rank 30)

Team strength (Elo)

1089

Opponent strength

1193

Possession, role

Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Development

Low

Trajectory

declining

Breakout probability

Age > 23

Resale range (24m)

€76k – €152k

Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 35 pts; changed club; team strength down (-219 Elo).

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -12% (IQR -69% to +0%).

• ▲Small sample: 498 league minutes last season.
• ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
• ▲Age 33: resale value typically declines.
• ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
• ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
• ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
• ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

Historical movers

37 (all positions)

Relative output kept

87%–128%

Held a regular role (900+ min)

86%

Confidence

Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.