
Omar Mascarell
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Omar Mascarell's performance-implied value at EUR 1.0M-2.4M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-0.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.3M-0.6M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.30x the positional average in the league (2245 minutes, league coefficient 0.95). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Age above 33 (outside validated pool)
| Performance | High | 75.9th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 33.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €480k vs market €700k |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -19% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.95 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2245 (66% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.16
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.16
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 76 (High)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.95 (rank 2)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1421
- Opponent strength
- 1488
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €264k – €634k
Trajectory drivers: relative output up 77% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -53% (IQR -58% to -32%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ▲Age 33: resale value typically declines.
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | RCD Mallorca | Laliga | DM | 30 | 2245 | 66% | 2 | 2 | 0.16 | 0.16 | 1488 | 1421 | 0.95 |
| 2024/25 | RCD Mallorca | Laliga | DM | 32 | 1990 | 58% | 1 | 0 | 0.05 | 0.09 | 1506 | 1415 | 0.95 |
| 2023/24 | RCD Mallorca | Laliga | DM | 29 | 1573 | 46% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1461 | 1436 | 1.00 |
| 2022/23 | Elche CF | Laliga | DM | 28 | 2450 | 72% | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 0.09 | 1507 | 1353 | 0.98 |
| 2021/22 | Elche CF | Laliga | DM | 32 | 2506 | 73% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1512 | 1421 | 1.05 |
| 2020/21 | FC Schalke 04 | Bundesliga | DM | 24 | 1767 | 58% | 1 | 1 | 0.10 | 0.12 | 1516 | 1303 | 1.06 |
| 2019/20 | FC Schalke 04 | Bundesliga | DM | 23 | 2029 | 66% | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 0.07 | 1534 | 1415 | 1.06 |
| 2018/19 | FC Schalke 04 | Bundesliga | DM | 14 | 994 | 32% | 0 | 2 | 0.18 | 0.17 | 1497 | 1482 | 1.05 |
| 2017/18 | Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga | DM | 9 | 770 | 25% | 1 | 0 | 0.12 | 0.10 | 1534 | 1479 | 1.04 |
| 2016/17 | Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga | DM | 28 | 2450 | 80% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1529 | 1424 | 1.06 |
| 2015/16 | Sporting Gijón | Laliga | DM | 26 | 1769 | 52% | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | 0.09 | 1591 | 1465 | 1.17 |
| 2012/13 | Real Madrid | Laliga | DM | 1 | 9 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.08 | 1423 | 1773 | 1.06 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Africa Cup Of Nations | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 225 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | Copa Del Rey | RCD Mallorca | 2 | 103 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Supercopa | RCD Mallorca | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1819 |
| 2024/25 | Copa Del Rey | RCD Mallorca | 1 | 75 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Copa Del Rey | RCD Mallorca | 5 | 280 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Copa Del Rey | Elche CF | 2 | 111 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Dfb Pokal | FC Schalke 04 | 2 | 77 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Dfb Pokal | FC Schalke 04 | 3 | 300 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Champions League | FC Schalke 04 | 3 | 225 | 0 | 0 | 1559 |
| 2018/19 | Dfb Pokal | FC Schalke 04 | 2 | 110 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Dfb Pokal | Eintracht Frankfurt | 3 | 247 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2016/17 | Dfb Pokal | Eintracht Frankfurt | 5 | 479 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2015/16 | Copa Del Rey | Sporting Gijón | 2 | 113 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timofey Kalachev Premier Liga · 2013 | 32 | €800k | €350k | fell |
| Pape Diop Laliga · 2021 | 35 | €800k | €200k | fell |
| Jérôme Rothen Ligue 1 · 2013 | 35 | €500k | €250k | fell |
| Mehdi Mostefa Ligue 1 · 2017 | 34 | €500k | €300k | fell |
| Oier Sanjurjo Laliga · 2021 | 35 | €700k | €300k | fell |
| Lars Stindl Bundesliga · 2023 | 35 | €1.0M | €1.0M | flat |
| Damien Duff Premier League · 2013 | 34 | €1.5M | €600k | fell |
| Fidel Laliga · 2023 | 34 | €1.0M | €1.0M | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2023 | Elche CF | RCD Mallorca | €600k | €3.0M |
| 23 Aug 2021 | FC Schalke 04 | Elche CF | Free / loan | €4.5M |
| 2 Jul 2018 | Real Madrid | FC Schalke 04 | €10.0M | €8.0M |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Frankfurt | Real Madrid | €4.0M | €8.0M |
| 6 Jul 2016 | Real Madrid | Frankfurt | €1.0M | €1.5M |
| 30 Jun 2016 | Sporting Gijón | Real Madrid | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 3 Aug 2015 | RM Castilla | Sporting Gijón | Free / loan | €500k |
| 30 Jun 2015 | Derby | RM Castilla | Free / loan | €500k |
| 6 Aug 2014 | RM Castilla | Derby | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 1 Jul 2011 | Real Madrid U19 | RM Castilla | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2010 | Laguna U19 | Real Madrid U19 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.