Matías Dituro

39 yrs · Goalkeeper · Argentina
Elche CF · Laliga · Foot: right · Height: 191 cm
Risk: ModerateConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2027
Market value
€100k
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€51k – €159k
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€126k – €801k
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€76k – €101k
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€33k – €750k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€51k – €159k
Model value (performance-implied)€126k – €801k
Projected value (24 months)€76k – €101k
Dashed line: current market value (€100k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Matías Dituro's performance-implied value at EUR 0.1M-0.8M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.1M-0.1M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Bargain Index: not assigned

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

Market value below EUR 250k (outside validated pool)

PerformanceAbove average55.1th pct among GK peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable39.1 years
Acquisition costFavorableest. €68k vs market €100k
Expected appreciationNeutral-0% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery largeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationBig-five leagueleague coefficient 0.95
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskModerate
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €1.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 284 evaluated GK players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1980 (58% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.00
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.00
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
55 (Above average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.95 (rank 2)
Team strength (Elo)
1389
Opponent strength
1483
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
insufficient
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€76k – €101k

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +0% (IQR -16% to +0%).

Risk profile

Overall: Moderate

  • ▲Age 39: resale value typically declines.
  • ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Elche CFLaligaGK22198058%000.000.00148313890.95
2023/24Fatih KaragümrükSuper LigGK1199029%000.000.00128912640.45
2021/22Celta de VigoLaligaGK383420100%000.000.00153014991.05

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Copa Del ReyElche CF439000—
2021/22Copa Del ReyCelta de Vigo19000—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Manolo Reina
Laliga · 2022
37€200k€200kflat
Sergei Pareiko
Premier Liga · 2014
37€100k€100kflat
Aleksandr Filimonov
Premier Liga · 2015
42€50k€50kflat
Christian Puggioni
Serie A · 2017
36€300k€150kfell
Petr Vasek
Premier Liga · 2014
35€150k€150kflat
Vitaliy Reva
Premier Liga · 2013
39€200k€200kflat
Eiji Kawashima
Ligue 1 · 2021
38€350k€150kfell
Andrés Palop
Laliga · 2013
40€100k€100kflat

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
8 Jan 2024KaragümrükElche CFUnknown€550k
24 Jul 2023U. CatólicaKaragümrükFree / loan€800k
30 Jun 2022Celta de VigoU. CatólicaFree / loan€1.0M
8 Jul 2021U. CatólicaCelta de VigoFree / loan€1.0M
1 Jan 2019BolívarU. Católica€875k€525k
31 Dec 2018U. CatólicaBolívarFree / loan€525k
15 Jan 2018BolívarU. CatólicaFree / loan€400k
11 Jan 2017AntofagastaBolívarUnknown€400k
1 Jul 2015WilstermannAntofagastaFree / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2014AuroraWilstermannFree / loanData unavailable
1 Feb 2014Rubio ÑúAuroraUnknownData unavailable
14 Jan 2014Guillermo BrownRubio ÑúFree / loanData unavailable
31 Jul 2013Douglas HaigGuillermo BrownFree / loanData unavailable
1 Aug 2012Celta Vigo BDouglas HaigFree / loanData unavailable
1 Aug 2011AlavésCelta Vigo BUnknownData unavailable
1 Jan 2011CNIAlavésUnknownData unavailable
1 Jan 2010BigandCNIUnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.