Ognjen Ozegovic

The model rates Ognjen Ozegovic's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-0.6M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.2M-0.4M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.95x the positional average in the league (846 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Minutes

846 (36% of available)

Goals + assists / 90

0.32

Context-adjusted G+A / 90

0.50

xG, xA, progression

Data unavailable

Defensive actions

Data unavailable

Performance percentile

7 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

League strength

0.42 (rank 16)

Team strength (Elo)

1241

Opponent strength

1237

Possession, role

Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Development

Low

Trajectory

stable

Breakout probability

Age > 23

Resale range (24m)

€174k – €388k

Trajectory drivers: changed club; league level down (-60 Elo).

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -40% (IQR -51% to -26%).

• ▲Small sample: 846 league minutes last season.
• ▲Age 32: resale value typically declines.
• ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
• ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
• ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
• ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
• ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

Historical movers

19 (ATT)

Relative output kept

99%–112%

Held a regular role (900+ min)

47%

Confidence

Low

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.