Dmitriy Kabutov

The model rates Dmitriy Kabutov's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-0.7M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.1M-0.3M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.99x the positional average in the league (1326 minutes, league coefficient 0.56). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Age above 33 (outside validated pool)

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Minutes

1326 (49% of available)

Goals + assists / 90

0.20

Context-adjusted G+A / 90

0.22

xG, xA, progression

Data unavailable

Defensive actions

Data unavailable

Performance percentile

38 (Average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

League strength

0.56 (rank 10)

Team strength (Elo)

1339

Opponent strength

1313

Possession, role

Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Development

Low

Trajectory

declining

Breakout probability

Age > 23

Resale range (24m)

€123k – €338k

Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 42 pts; relative output down 26% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -65% (IQR -75% to -54%).

• ▲Age 34: resale value typically declines.
• ⚠Limited sample: 1326 league minutes last season.
• ⚠League level coefficient 0.56 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
• ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
• ⚠League level estimated mainly from squad values (few matches vs other leagues).
• ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
• ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
• ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

Historical movers

18 (MID)

Relative output kept

54%–153%

Held a regular role (900+ min)

56%

Confidence

Low

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.