Tobias Mohr
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Tobias Mohr's performance-implied value at EUR 0.5M-1.4M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-0.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.3M-0.7M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 29
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 36.4th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 30.9 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €537k vs market €800k |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -43% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.65 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2078 (77% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.13
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.14
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 36 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.65 (rank 6)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1341
- Opponent strength
- 1382
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €284k – €673k
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -35% (IQR -50% to -26%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Age 31: resale value typically declines.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 76 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 67%–160%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 76%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Standard Liège | Jupiler Pro League | LB | 30 | 2078 | 77% | 1 | 2 | 0.13 | 0.14 | 1382 | 1341 | 0.65 |
| 2022/23 | FC Schalke 04 | Bundesliga | LM | 18 | 833 | 27% | 0 | 3 | 0.32 | 0.41 | 1544 | 1354 | 1.04 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Jupiler Pro League Europe Play Offs | Standard Liège | 8 | 210 | 1 | 0 | 1415 |
| 2022/23 | Dfb Pokal | FC Schalke 04 | 2 | 130 | 0 | 3 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tiago Pinto Super Lig · 2018 | 30 | €1.0M | €525k | fell |
| Vitaliy Lysytskyi Premier Liga · 2013 | 31 | €900k | €400k | fell |
| Mikhail Sivakov Premier Liga · 2018 | 30 | €1.0M | €950k | flat |
| Dion Malone Eredivisie · 2019 | 30 | €700k | €500k | fell |
| Mohamed Abarhoun Super Lig · 2019 | 30 | €900k | €650k | fell |
| Freek Heerkens Eredivisie · 2019 | 30 | €600k | €350k | fell |
| Olivier Veigneau Super Lig · 2017 | 32 | €1.0M | €300k | fell |
| Tim Breukers Eredivisie · 2018 | 31 | €700k | €550k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2025 | FC Schalke 04 | Standard Liège | Free / loan | €500k |
| 1 Jul 2022 | Heidenheim | FC Schalke 04 | €1.1M | €1.3M |
| 10 Jan 2020 | Greuther Fürth | Heidenheim | €1.0M | €600k |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Alem. Aachen | Greuther Fürth | Free / loan | €150k |
| 1 Jul 2014 | Aachen U19 | Alem. Aachen | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2012 | Aachen U17 | Aachen U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2011 | Aachen Yth. | Aachen U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2006 | Bor. Brand Yth. | Aachen Yth. | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.