
Adrien Tamèze
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Adrien Tamèze's performance-implied value at EUR 0.6M-1.9M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.3M-1.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.4M-1.0M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: 7
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 57.8th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 32.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €884k vs market €1.2M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -54% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.93 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1117 (33% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.04
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 58 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.93 (rank 4)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1419
- Opponent strength
- 1534
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €386k – €978k
Trajectory drivers: role change DM -> CB.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -48% (IQR -74% to +9%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Age 32: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Limited sample: 1117 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Torino FC | Serie A | CB | 24 | 1117 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 1534 | 1419 | 0.93 |
| 2024/25 | Torino FC | Serie A | DM | 20 | 646 | 19% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.08 | 1547 | 1458 | 0.99 |
| 2023/24 | Torino FC | Serie A | CB | 29 | 2152 | 63% | 0 | 2 | 0.08 | 0.08 | 1475 | 1510 | 0.98 |
| 2022/23 | Hellas Verona | Serie A | DM | 37 | 3039 | 89% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 1467 | 1357 | 0.94 |
| 2021/22 | Hellas Verona | Serie A | DM | 38 | 2573 | 75% | 4 | 2 | 0.21 | 0.19 | 1480 | 1441 | 0.89 |
| 2020/21 | Hellas Verona | Serie A | DM | 33 | 2311 | 68% | 1 | 0 | 0.04 | 0.06 | 1448 | 1369 | 0.90 |
| 2019/20 | OGC Nice | Ligue 1 | CM | 8 | 519 | 21% | 1 | 0 | 0.17 | 0.20 | 1428 | 1456 | 0.82 |
| 2019/20 | Atalanta BC | Serie A | CM | 7 | 207 | 6% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.08 | 1343 | 1666 | 0.82 |
| 2018/19 | OGC Nice | Ligue 1 | DM | 37 | 2951 | 86% | 0 | 3 | 0.09 | 0.09 | 1456 | 1453 | 0.82 |
| 2017/18 | OGC Nice | Ligue 1 | DM | 26 | 1684 | 49% | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | 0.07 | 1416 | 1489 | 0.85 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Italy Cup | Torino FC | 3 | 270 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Italy Cup | Torino FC | 2 | 84 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Italy Cup | Torino FC | 2 | 78 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Italy Cup | Hellas Verona | 1 | 71 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Italy Cup | Hellas Verona | 2 | 73 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Italy Cup | Hellas Verona | 2 | 58 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Champions League | Atalanta BC | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1603 |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Europa League | OGC Nice | 6 | 82 | 1 | 0 | 1453 |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | OGC Nice | 1 | 66 | 0 | 0 | 1749 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominic Maroh Bundesliga · 2018 | 31 | €1.0M | €250k | fell |
| Jonathan Martins Pereira Ligue 1 · 2018 | 32 | €1.5M | €400k | fell |
| Phil Bardsley Premier League · 2017 | 32 | €1.5M | €1.5M | flat |
| Marc Torrejón Bundesliga · 2017 | 31 | €1.0M | €250k | fell |
| Nicolás Spolli Serie A · 2016 | 33 | €1.0M | €400k | fell |
| Adam Masina Serie A · 2024 | 30 | €1.5M | €1.0M | fell |
| Edoardo Goldaniga Serie A · 2024 | 31 | €1.2M | €2.0M | rose |
| David López Laliga · 2022 | 33 | €1.8M | €2.5M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2026 | Torino | Without Club | Unknown | €1.2M |
| 23 Jul 2023 | Hellas Verona | Torino | €2.8M | €6.0M |
| 3 Sept 2020 | Nice | Hellas Verona | €3.9M | €4.5M |
| 2 Aug 2020 | Atalanta | Nice | Free / loan | €4.8M |
| 31 Jan 2020 | Nice | Atalanta | Free / loan | €6.0M |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Valenciennes FC | Nice | €800k | €800k |
| 24 Jul 2015 | Valenciennes B | Valenciennes FC | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2014 | AS Nancy B | Valenciennes B | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2012 | AS Nancy U19 | AS Nancy B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2011 | AS Nancy U17 | AS Nancy U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2010 | AS Nancy Jugend | AS Nancy U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2009 | Wasquehal Jgd | AS Nancy Jugend | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2008 | Lambersart | Wasquehal Jgd | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2006 | LOSC Lille Yth. | Lambersart | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.